BobHarlem wrote:CaliforniaResident wrote:HurricaneRyan wrote:It's looking pretty good so far. Definitely hurricane potential.
Imagine if this ends up being a big storm.
It looks like it's almost guaranteed to be a hurricane at one point (ruining the chances of the first recorded hurricane free season in the Atlantic in the Satellite era) but is there any chance of it maintaining hurricane status while making landfall somewhere? This is WAY out on a limb but there any chance of this surprising everyone and becoming another "Andrew"?
Almost no chance, this thing is likely to hit more hostile conditions on Sunday, and then again when it enters or nears the Caribbean. Usually the first Cape Verde storm gets everyone on point, and it falls apart, then another sneaks up and does a bit more. (Or in the last several years, just never gets its act together). Although one difference with Danny is it is already getting its act together, if it can keep it all the way to the Caribbean really is the larger question. If it slams near or into Hispaniola like a few models suggest it's pretty much over as a major event (away from the Caribbean that is)
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I would not say it is out of the realm of possibility. Matter of fact I would give it a 40 percent chance of impacting the US.