ATL: DANNY - Remnants - Discussion

SouthFLTropics · #781 Postby **SouthFLTropics** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 3:49 pm

That NHC 5 day cone keeps creeping closer and closer to the CONUS. I can't remember the last time I was in the cone.

SFT

#782 Postby **fci** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 3:50 pm

johngaltfla wrote:Looking much better this afternoon however, please rain out on the islands, they need it BAD. Florida however does not need ANY more rain. Sheesh, I'm waiting on someone to come out and designate my back yard as a lake.

Southeast Florida can use the rain however, pretty serious drought here.
Not all Florida is apparently like Sarasota.

caneseddy · #783 Postby **caneseddy** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 3:56 pm

fci wrote:
johngaltfla wrote:Looking much better this afternoon however, please rain out on the islands, they need it BAD. Florida however does not need ANY more rain. Sheesh, I'm waiting on someone to come out and designate my back yard as a lake.

Southeast Florida can use the rain however, pretty serious drought here.
Not all Florida is apparently like Sarasota.

Rain here in SE....West Coast, especially Tampa and Pasco County don't need it anymore

johngaltfla · #784 Postby **johngaltfla** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:00 pm

fci wrote:
johngaltfla wrote:Looking much better this afternoon however, please rain out on the islands, they need it BAD. Florida however does not need ANY more rain. Sheesh, I'm waiting on someone to come out and designate my back yard as a lake.

Southeast Florida can use the rain however, pretty serious drought here.
Not all Florida is apparently like Sarasota.

Man, I haven't been able to keep track of your area and that is bizarre. From Englewood to Crystal River is basically so far above average it is crazy.

#785 Postby **ozonepete** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:01 pm

Wow some really intense hot towers popping in the SW now. Those are the reds showing up in AVN IR satellite. Since we are heading for DMAX overnight now there could be some impressive strengthening...

Hurricaneman · #786 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:03 pm

ozonepete wrote:Wow some really intense hot towers popping in the SW now. Those are the reds showing up in AVN IR satellite. Since we are heading for DMAX overnight now there could be some impressive strengthening...

Could this end up a major before conditions become more hostile

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Gustywind · #787 Postby **Gustywind** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:05 pm

ozonepete wrote:Wow some really intense hot towers popping in the SW now. Those are the reds showing up in AVN IR satellite. Since we are heading for DMAX overnight now there could be some impressive strengthening...

Thanks for you input ozonepete

. Do you think that this RI could bring it to a cat 2 during the next 6-12hours? I ask you that because of Danny seems so versatile IMO.

#788 Postby **ozonepete** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:06 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:
ozonepete wrote:Wow some really intense hot towers popping in the SW now. Those are the reds showing up in AVN IR satellite. Since we are heading for DMAX overnight now there could be some impressive strengthening...

Could this end up a major before conditions become more hostile

It really wouldn't surprise me. A lot of people are saying remember that due to large fluctuations in strength this could go way down in a hurry. But the other side is true as well - this could do another RI and pass 110 mph no problem because it's so small.

#789 Postby **ozonepete** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:07 pm

Gustywind wrote:
ozonepete wrote:Wow some really intense hot towers popping in the SW now. Those are the reds showing up in AVN IR satellite. Since we are heading for DMAX overnight now there could be some impressive strengthening...

Thanks for you input ozonepete . Do you think that this RI could bring it to a cat 2 during the next 6-12hours? I ask you that because of Danny seems so versatile IMO.

Hi Gusty, see just above here. :uarrow:

Though not in 6 hours, lord help us! But by tomorrow afternoon, there's a very decent chance there for sure, especially cause it's got banding now to help keep dry air intrusions to a minimum.

Also, we have not said our official hellos yet this season. So good to see you.

SouthFLTropics · #790 Postby **SouthFLTropics** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:10 pm

Based on the forecast track I wouldn't be surprised to see watches raised in the LA at some point tomorrow. Probably closer to tomorrow evening.

SFT

Weatherlover12 · #791 Postby **Weatherlover12** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:10 pm

Even if this storm really weakens near the islands, could it have a chance in the bahamas where conditions seem to be favorable?

-WeatherLover my thoughts are my own... Not storm2k

caneseddy · #792 Postby **caneseddy** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:11 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:Based on the forecast track I wouldn't be surprised to see watches raised in the LA at some point tomorrow. Probably closer to tomorrow evening.

SFT

They will probably wait until recon goes in before putting up any watches

SouthFLTropics · #793 Postby **SouthFLTropics** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:14 pm

caneseddy wrote:
SouthFLTropics wrote:Based on the forecast track I wouldn't be surprised to see watches raised in the LA at some point tomorrow. Probably closer to tomorrow evening.

SFT

They will probably wait until recon goes in before putting up any watches

Recon is scheduled for tomorrow.

#794 Postby **tolakram** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:15 pm

Live visible showing some nice towers as the sun sets.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20HURRICANE&lat=13&lon=-40&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1024&height=768&type=Animation&quality=92&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=7&mapcolor=gray

Gustywind · #795 Postby **Gustywind** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:16 pm

ozonepete wrote:
Gustywind wrote:
ozonepete wrote:Wow some really intense hot towers popping in the SW now. Those are the reds showing up in AVN IR satellite. Since we are heading for DMAX overnight now there could be some impressive strengthening...

Thanks for you input ozonepete . Do you think that this RI could bring it to a cat 2 during the next 6-12hours? I ask you that because of Danny seems so versatile IMO.

Hi Gusty, see just above here.

Also, we have not said our official hellos yet this season. So good to see you.

Ok thank you! I'm glad for this reception

So good to see and read you too. It's always a pleasure to met you there

110 mph man that's very strong! Things from past with small systems becoming nasty like a fury! Remembering Marylin 1995 even if the story was completely different. Theses systems have a terrible energy.
Honestly, we hope for water. The situation is catastrophic in most of the EC especially in PR! I will continue to read you and ask you questions as Danny continues it trips close the EC. Again thanks for all

#796 Postby **Nederlander** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:17 pm

HurricaneBrain wrote:With the latest burst it looks like Danny is undergoing RI

I've seen this comment several times on here but I think RI is used quite flippantly. For a system to be undergoing RI, max sustained winds must increase at least 30 kt in a 24-hour period. I see moderate strengthening, but nothing to suggest RI.

Miami Storm Tracker · #797 Postby **Miami Storm Tracker** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:19 pm

Danny is looking very good this evening, to bad recon cannot be in there between now and Dmax.

NCSTORMMAN · #798 Postby **NCSTORMMAN** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:20 pm

Nederlander wrote:
HurricaneBrain wrote:With the latest burst it looks like Danny is undergoing RI

I've seen this comment several times on here but I think RI is used quite flippantly. For a system to be undergoing RI, max sustained winds must increase at least 30 kt in a 24-hour period. I see moderate strengthening, but nothing to suggest RI.

It went from 50 MPH to 80 MPH so very close and still has another 12 hours to go up to RI criteria we shall see.

tropicwatch · #799 Postby **tropicwatch** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:20 pm

CDO might be expanding a little bit. Did a ruler check in google earth and the CDO appeared to be about 107 miles.
I know, not very scientific. :roll:

floridasun78 · #800 Postby **floridasun78** » Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:20 pm

i think this hurr want surprise alot people specifically people in islands i hope their getting ready

ATL: DANNY - Remnants - Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

Re:

Re: Re:

Who is online