ATL: DANNY - Remnants - Discussion

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Hurricaneman
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Re: Re:

#921 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:04 pm

Steve wrote:
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:I am by no means a met, but Danny looks really good tonight. in fact better than he has since it was classified, I think it has to be more than a minimal Cat 1 based only by appearance.


Agreed. Not sure if it is the final peak, but danny is rolling for the time being and should easily be at it's strongest yet if not ever based on what happens next 36 hours. But yeah. You are right. Also notice the eye is pretty far south in the convective mass.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... oater.html


looks like the eye is in the middle to me but I could be wrong

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#922 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:06 pm

Looks great on the AVN very clear pin hole eye.
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#923 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:08 pm

I'd go with 80 knots.
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Re:

#924 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:09 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Looks great on the AVN very clear pin hole eye.


Check Danny out on RBTOP

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/04L/imagery/rbtop_lalo-animated.gif
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#925 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:10 pm

Great to see you in here tonight ozonepete. I have not spoke to you in awhile. Yeah great discussion with NDG, my fellow pal on the Storm2K forums. It is always
great to have great dialogue on the board.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

#926 Postby N2FSU » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:15 pm

Looking good:

Image
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#927 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:18 pm

It is amazing what weathermen will say, had Channel 7 news on while checking Storm2K. won't mention names but he just said before a break Danny was not looking that impressive. Not sure what he is looking at to be able to say that.
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#928 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:20 pm

Beautifiul pinhole eye showing with Danny. In my educated opinion and analysis given the current satellite presentation, this is a Cat 2 tropical cyclone which is still strengthening.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

#929 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:21 pm

Could not agree with you more.
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#930 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:24 pm

I can safely say this is the best MDR system since Katia in 2011 so basically in 4 years

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Re:

#931 Postby floridasun78 » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:26 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:It is amazing what weathermen will say, had Channel 7 news on while checking Storm2K. won't mention names but he just said before a break Danny was not looking that impressive. Not sure what he is looking at to be able to say that.

i like Craig Setzer better i meet him person as i am member of weather watcher
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Re:

#932 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:26 pm

northjaxpro wrote:Beautifiul pinhole eye showing with Danny. In my educated opinion and analysis given the current satellite presentation, this is a Cat 2 tropical cyclone which is still strengthening.


I couldnt agree more. The sat presentation continues to improve.
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Re: Re:

#933 Postby drezee » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:27 pm

drezee wrote:
drezee wrote:We will get a better feel for his Northern wind field shortly. The closest thing we have to recon is below:

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41041


Wind gust to 25.3Kts last hour...center should pass between 60-70nm at its closest approach tonight...should be on the border of the TS winds... it should also happen right about the time for the 11pm advisory


So small: center passed 63nm from buoy and highest gust was like 30mph
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Re:

#934 Postby ozonepete » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:32 pm

northjaxpro wrote:Great to see you in here tonight ozonepete. I have not spoke to you in awhile. Yeah great discussion with NDG, my fellow pal on the Storm2K forums. It is always great to have great dialogue on the board.


As always my friend, it is great to see you around for another season. And thanks for saying that about the discussion. Knowledge is only gained through sharing and sometimes we share through an intense dialogue. :)
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#935 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:33 pm

Yeah, Danny is very small. TS force winds probably only extend out only 40-50 miles from the eye and hurricane force winds probably only 20 -30 miles at best. Danny is a tiny hurricane, but man he has an extremely impressive and compact inner core currently.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

#936 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:35 pm

Wow. Such a small and tenacious storm...Danny did it
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

#937 Postby ozonepete » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:39 pm

Wow, this is looking very impressive. The overall symmetry, pinhole eye, banding features and even the outflow are all organizing at the same time.

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

#938 Postby Siker » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:42 pm

ozonepete wrote:Wow, this is looking very impressive. The overall symmetry, pinhole eye, banding features and even the outflow are all organizing at the same time.



Care to share an intensity estimate?
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Hurricane- Discussion

#939 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:43 pm

Danny is really strengthening tonight. Look at the reds showing up on the avn.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/04L/imagery/avn_lalo-animated.gif
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#940 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:43 pm

NHC must be looking at a totally different storm. 80mph? Yeah right.
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