ATL: DANNY - Remnants - Discussion

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Gustywind
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#1781 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 23, 2015 7:59 pm

Radar of Barbados. TS Danny is coming to our east now.

:rarrow: http://www.barbadosweather.org/Composit ... 1440336985
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1782 Postby tailgater » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:11 pm

I won't be surprised if it pulses up again tonight and gets sheared off again tomorrow

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... short.html
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1783 Postby blp » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:13 pm

tailgater wrote:I won't be surprised if it pulses up again tonight and gets sheared off again tomorrow

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... short.html



Agree the shear does this where it relaxes allowing the system to pluse up and then pounds it again.

You can now see a tiny blowup over the center.

Also, keep in mind the models still kept this going at least for a couple more days before dissipation over Hispaniola so not surprised by this.
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#1784 Postby gatorcane » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:26 pm

Shear let's up just a little and here comes Danny on the comeback:

Saved loop:
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#1785 Postby Hammy » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:31 pm

Radar seems to confirm the circulation is currently closed, with all rain elements directly south of the center going (albeit slowly) to the east.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1786 Postby blp » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:31 pm

I have a feeling and I could be wrong but I think the llc may get pulled WNW toward this blow-up. It has happened before in other systems.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1787 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:35 pm

Live IR loop

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20HURRICANE&lat=16&lon=-60&info=ir&zoom=1&width=1024&height=768&type=Animation&quality=92&palette=ir2.pal&numframes=7&mapcolor=gray
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#1788 Postby NCSTORMMAN » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:47 pm

Danny just die already....
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Re:

#1789 Postby tailgater » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:48 pm

Gustywind wrote:Radar of Barbados. TS Danny is coming to our east now.

:rarrow: http://www.barbadosweather.org/Composit ... 1440336985


looks like someone just turn on the lite switch in the last twenty mins.
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Re:

#1790 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:49 pm

NCSTORMMAN wrote:Danny just die already....

Shhh!!! He might here you! :lol:
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#1791 Postby AutoPenalti » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:49 pm

Wow, no means no for Danny. This storm is something I really want to analyze.
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Re:

#1792 Postby Hammy » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:52 pm

NCSTORMMAN wrote:Danny just die already....


Tracking these storms to near death and watching them come back is part of what makes tracking interesting. :wink:
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Re: Re:

#1793 Postby NCSTORMMAN » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:53 pm

Hammy wrote:
NCSTORMMAN wrote:Danny just die already....


Tracking these storms to near death and watching them come back is part of what makes tracking interesting. :wink:



lol I have to admit that is very true.
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#1794 Postby jvega15 » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:53 pm

Danny was suppose to die before page 10, 92 pages later danny is still here!!. maybe is the warm water?
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Re:

#1795 Postby AJC3 » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:53 pm

Hammy wrote:Radar seems to confirm the circulation is currently closed, with all rain elements directly south of the center going (albeit slowly) to the east.


Actually, radar pretty much confirms the opposite. There's a vigorous vort center east of Dominica, but it's at the cusp of an open wave. Look at the motion of the cells to it's NW and W. There is nothing in that quadrant that's moving NW to SE, which could indicate a closed ground relative wind circulation.
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#1796 Postby NCSTORMMAN » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:54 pm

Looks like a light switch was flipped on and shear has really relaxed. Dry air is moving away from Danny and weakening a good bit. This is his window here either now or more than likely never.
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Re:

#1797 Postby Bocadude85 » Sun Aug 23, 2015 9:00 pm

NCSTORMMAN wrote:Looks like a light switch was flipped on and shear has really relaxed. Dry air is moving away from Danny and weakening a good bit. This is his window here either now or more than likely never.


I don't think shear has dropped enough for Danny to make much of a come back. There is one lone thunderstorm over the llc.
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#1798 Postby tropicwatch » Sun Aug 23, 2015 9:03 pm

:uarrow: The lone ranger. Couldn't resist 8-)
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Re: Re:

#1799 Postby NCSTORMMAN » Sun Aug 23, 2015 9:03 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:
NCSTORMMAN wrote:Looks like a light switch was flipped on and shear has really relaxed. Dry air is moving away from Danny and weakening a good bit. This is his window here either now or more than likely never.


I don't think shear has dropped enough for Danny to make much of a come back. There is one lone thunderstorm over the llc.



According to the maps I read they are at or below 20 knots? Right and they are dropping? If not then light or no light it will be the same end result of blown off convection.
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#1800 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 23, 2015 9:11 pm

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
23/2345 UTC 15.6N 59.2W T2.0/2.5 DANNY
23/1745 UTC 15.5N 58.2W T2.0/2.5 DANNY
23/1145 UTC 15.6N 56.7W T2.5/3.0 DANNY
23/0545 UTC 15.4N 55.3W T2.5/3.5 DANNY
22/2345 UTC 15.6N 54.0W T3.0/4.0 DANNY
22/1745 UTC 16.0N 52.4W T4.0/4.0 DANNY
22/1145 UTC 15.4N 51.4W T3.5/4.5 DANNY
22/0545 UTC 15.1N 50.0W T4.0/4.5 DANNY
21/2345 UTC 14.9N 49.3W T4.5/5.0 DANNY
21/1745 UTC 14.3N 48.4W T4.5/5.0 DANNY
21/1145 UTC 13.8N 47.8W T5.0/5.0 DANNY
21/0545 UTC 13.5N 46.9W T4.5/4.5 DANNY
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