ATL: 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Models

[hurricaneCW]

Ouch what a nail biter, there's going to be a lot of nervous people up and down the east coast if this verifies. Also we're heading into Labor Day weekend with a strong cane off the SE coast.

[N2FSU]

+186 hr

[TheStormExpert]

Not only would Florida get spared by yet another hurricane, the U.S. would get spared by yet another major hurricane!

[N2FSU]

18z HWRF; initialization

[tolakram]

[Riptide]

The escape path is so small, almost non-existent.

[tolakram]

Moving just south of east.

[N2FSU]

HWRF +24hr

[tolakram]

Weatherbell maps showing SE movement now. This IS the GFS, but it's hinting at getting trapped.

[tolakram]

[hurricaneCW]

Weatherbell maps showing SE movement now. This IS the GFS, but it's hinting at getting trapped.

That's what JB said and there were hints of this from the ensembles.

[tolakram]

[SFLcane]

Its doing a loop lol

[N2FSU]

GFS +210

Blocked and moving SE

[tolakram]

Still moving SE, still getting stronger. LaLa land IMO.

[TexasF6]

I think Erica's center is redeveloping back to SE of that big burst. This changes a lot IMHO. Not an official forecast, but it looks very interesting. Models may shift west again.

[PTrackerLA]

Pretty crazy run, just tells me there's a lot of model uncertainty but the strength potential is very scary.

[N2FSU]

So does the block/loop portend possible adjustments back to the west?
i.e. If Erika slows then she's at a lower latitude when the blocking ridge sets up?

[tolakram]

Still headed SE, still deepening.

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Still moving SE, still getting stronger. LaLa land IMO.

That does not make sense if it gets trapped it should move south west or west not to the east. Unless it is really going to do a loop.