ATL: ERIKA - Remnants - Discussion

[Weatherboy1]

Given the tight swirl apparent on satellite - and the fact there is still some convection popping up around it in spiral bands, I'm surprised they killed her off rather than maintained her as a depression for one more advisory cycle (til 5). But that's just my opinion as a semieducated amateur not an expert

[Sanibel]

We'll see how much those waters can recharge it if any. Moving along now under a faster ridge.

[SoFla954]

Given the tight swirl apparent on satellite - and the fact there is still some convection popping up around it in spiral bands, I'm surprised they killed her off rather than maintained her as a depression for one more advisory cycle (til 5). But that's just my opinion as a semieducated amateur not an expert

I'm new on here but have been following for awhile and I was thinking the same thing. I would have thought the NHC would have help off on dissipating her until she was fully gone, people may let there guard down. Just an observation.

[OuterBanker]

Now that Erika has been declared dead. If it re-fires will it become Fred? (Fred formerly known as Erika.)

[Extratropical94]

Now that Erika has been declared dead. If it re-fires will it become Fred? (Fred formerly known as Erika.)

Probably not as the remnants can still be traced back to what has been Erika. Same with Helene 2012 or Dorian 2013.

[CourierPR]

Now that Erika has been declared dead. If it re-fires will it become Fred? (Fred formerly known as Erika.)

I think it would still be Erika since the remnants are Erika's.

[SoFla954]

There is definitely more convection starting to fire up just above that circulation.
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... color=gray

[ConvergenceZone]

No Worries, the reason we have so much insanely abnormally high shear tearing apart systems this year is because of El Nino. Next year, things should be back to normal and we can track "normal" storms once again.....Enjoy the tranquility while it lasts folks We've been incredibly lucky recently.....Change always happens in weather. I can't wait to see what next year brings.

[ronjon]

Live visible. This thing is moving.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=22&lon=-77&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=90&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=15&mapcolor=gray

yeah but should start to slow as it nears the FL peninsula and keys (rounding ridge).

[Sanibel]

The center is starting to convect. Looks like the shear never really let up.

[psyclone]

No Worries, the reason we have so much insanely abnormally high shear tearing apart systems this year is because of El Nino. Next year, things should be back to normal and we can track "normal" storms once again.....Enjoy the tranquility while it lasts folks We've been incredibly lucky recently.....Change always happens in weather. I can't wait to see what next year brings.

This. We know there's often a big rebound in the Atlantic following major el nino events. in the interim the same el nino that is wiping out the tropical atlantic this season should bring a bounty of weather entertainment this winter across the southern tier of the US thanks to the subtropical jet. I am expecting plenty of storminess and svr wx episodes along the gulf coast and florida this winter

[supercane]

Now that Erika has been declared dead. If it re-fires will it become Fred? (Fred formerly known as Erika.)

Erika. From the NWS directive outlining the Tropical Cyclone Program:

Within a basin, if the remnant of a tropical cyclone redevelops into a tropical cyclone, it is assigned its original number or name.

[StormTracker]

Floater is following the swirl. Hit advanced controls and turn off all but last 4 or 5 frames.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/loop.asp?product=1kmsrvis&storm_identifier=AL052015&starting_image=2015AL05_1KMSRVIS_201508282000.GIF

I see it!

[StormTracker]

Live visible. This thing is moving.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=22&lon=-77&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=90&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=15&mapcolor=gray

Last couple of frames looks like she's trying to pull some of the convection in from the east, as a last ditch effort! She's hauling butt though!

[ConvergenceZone]

No Worries, the reason we have so much insanely abnormally high shear tearing apart systems this year is because of El Nino. Next year, things should be back to normal and we can track "normal" storms once again.....Enjoy the tranquility while it lasts folks We've been incredibly lucky recently.....Change always happens in weather. I can't wait to see what next year brings.

This. We know there's often a big rebound in the Atlantic following major el nino events. in the interim the same el nino that is wiping out the tropical atlantic this season should bring a bounty of weather entertainment this winter across the southern tier of the US thanks to the subtropical jet. I am expecting plenty of storminess and svr wx episodes along the gulf coast and florida this winter

Yep, and I'm in California and we are going to get torrential rains this year from the El Nino.....I can't wait Hopefully it won't come all at once anyway.......

[northjaxpro]

She can't organize or try to at least until she slows down. Stormtracker, I give it a very slight chance that she could regenerate once she gets in the Florida Straits later tonight.

[psyclone]

No Worries, the reason we have so much insanely abnormally high shear tearing apart systems this year is because of El Nino. Next year, things should be back to normal and we can track "normal" storms once again.....Enjoy the tranquility while it lasts folks We've been incredibly lucky recently.....Change always happens in weather. I can't wait to see what next year brings.

This. We know there's often a big rebound in the Atlantic following major el nino events. in the interim the same el nino that is wiping out the tropical atlantic this season should bring a bounty of weather entertainment this winter across the southern tier of the US thanks to the subtropical jet. I am expecting plenty of storminess and svr wx episodes along the gulf coast and florida this winter

Yep, and I'm in California and we are going to get torrential rains this year from the El Nino.....I can't wait Hopefully it won't come all at once anyway.......

the farther south you are in California the better your chance to cash in. hopefully the entire golden state does well. in the meantime I'm mainly looking above 20 degrees lat for tropical activity in the atlantic (although 99L looks good.... it probably won't bother anyone except the cape verde islands). As for what's left of Erika, I'll continue to watch as I do with any disturbance, especially one edging my general direction..

[Aric Dunn]

Its embedded in the tightening low level flow typically always exists this time of year between cuba bahamas and florida. As it approaches the weakness and the trough it will have a very short time to organize before more land

[StormTracker]

:uarrow: She can't organize or try to at least until she slows down. Stormtracker, I give it a very slight chance that she could regenerate once she gets in the Florida Straits later tonight.

Well if she slows down like ronjon is predicting, there may be a slight chance, but there is very little time to do it in!

[StormTracker]

Its embedded in the tightening low level flow typically always exists this time of year between cuba bahamas and florida. As it approaches the weakness and the trough it will have a very short time to organize before more land

You beat me to it! Agreed...ST