ATL: FRED- Remnants - Discussion

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L- Discussion

#21 Postby YoshiMike » Sat Aug 29, 2015 1:23 pm

What does fish storm mean? Out to sea and dying without affecting people? Like a fish? Lol.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L- Discussion

#22 Postby toad strangler » Sat Aug 29, 2015 1:24 pm

YoshiMike wrote:What does fish storm mean? Out to sea and dying without affecting people? Like a fish? Lol.



exactly

A storm only the fish see.
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#23 Postby YoshiMike » Sat Aug 29, 2015 1:27 pm

Okay thanks. And I agree with what you said. What what I've seen, cape verde systems do tend to recurve a lot
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#24 Postby toad strangler » Sat Aug 29, 2015 1:30 pm

YoshiMike wrote:Okay thanks. And I agree with what you said. What what I've seen, cape verde systems do tend to recurve a lot



I mean even rare CONUS hits are really recurves too but they do it much further west.
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#25 Postby Hammy » Sat Aug 29, 2015 1:33 pm

There was a storm that was modeled some time ago that would come off slowly and then turn north probably prior to 40W, this will likely be that one should it develop. Either way it doesn't appear to be going anywhere in a hurry.
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#26 Postby galaxy401 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 1:33 pm

A tropical wave that is moving slowly?? No!!! 8-)
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#27 Postby Extratropical94 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 1:42 pm

AL, 99, 2015082918, , BEST, 0, 98N, 166W, 25, 1007, LO
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#28 Postby YoshiMike » Sat Aug 29, 2015 1:42 pm

That is true, toad. Didn't think of that.
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#29 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 29, 2015 1:58 pm

First appareance on SSD...

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
29/1745 UTC 9.5N 16.5W T1.0/1.0 99L
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#30 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:11 pm

It is NOT a fish if it hits Cape Verde...especially if it is a hurricane for them.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L- Discussion

#31 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:51 pm

Looks very good as the sun comes down.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L- Discussion

#32 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:51 pm

cycloneye wrote:Looks very good as the sun comes down.

Image


It might be a TD right now...and they shouldn't wait too long to upgrade it, since Tropical Storm Warnings would be necessary.
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#33 Postby galaxy401 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 3:15 pm

What is the strongest storm to impact the Cape Verde islands?
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#34 Postby Extratropical94 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 3:20 pm

galaxy401 wrote:What is the strongest storm to impact the Cape Verde islands?


Hurricane Jeanne (1998) was a category 1 when it passed the islands, but it was to far away to impact anything.

The only storms that caused fatalities were Tropical Storms Beryl (1982), Fran (1984) and Delta (2005).

Other storms also moved through the area but either brought only precipitation or caused damage to property.
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#35 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 29, 2015 4:18 pm

This system looks very impressive, it appears we will have Fred out of this. Looks to be barely moving, maybe a slow NW drift.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L- Discussion

#36 Postby EquusStorm » Sat Aug 29, 2015 4:34 pm

Ironically, our LAST Fred developed rather far east in about the same area. I think this one will form even further east, but won't be anywhere near as intense.

In fact we're a bit further along than 2009 in the way of named storms if 99L does develop. Not that 2009 wasn't extremely inactive, of course.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L- Discussion

#37 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 29, 2015 4:52 pm

EquusStorm wrote:Ironically, our LAST Fred developed rather far east in about the same area. I think this one will form even further east, but won't be anywhere near as intense.

In fact we're a bit further along than 2009 in the way of named storms if 99L does develop. Not that 2009 wasn't extremely inactive, of course.


And interesting fact is both years are with El Nino.
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#38 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 29, 2015 5:55 pm

my preliminary reanalysis of Debbie (1961) has the system hitting the CVI as a tropical storm ... this is pending the revision and approval by the hurricane committee

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L- Discussion

#39 Postby hurricanehunter69 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 6:14 pm

This one has the look. I'd bet Hurricane Fred on this one.....6/2/1...? Guidance doesn't look promising, but I wouldn't be at all surprised if it blew up to a major...so...6/2/2..?
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Re:

#40 Postby abajan » Sat Aug 29, 2015 6:19 pm

toad strangler wrote:This one has FISH written all over it.

Cape Verde systems almost always fish or ride real low and turn into Caribbean Cruisers and effect Mexico. Very tough to get one into the CONUS.
No, it doesn't have FISH written all over it. People live in the Cape Verde Islands.
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