ATL: ERIKA - Remnants - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#3161 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:13 pm

0 likes   

User avatar
robbielyn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1298
Joined: Wed May 07, 2003 9:45 am
Location: brooksville, fl

Re:

#3162 Postby robbielyn » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:32 pm

JonathanBelles wrote:Post tonight on Erika, 99L:
http://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/29/er ... e-islands/

hi I live in spring hill fl 40miles northwest of tama 10 miles from the coast. will we have any sustained winds at all like 25 or 30 or will we be out of the wind field d/t erika being 100-150 away from the coast out in the gulf?
0 likes   
Robbielyn McCrary
I know just about enough to sound like I know what I'm talking about sometimes. But for your safety please follow the nhc for truly professional forecasting. :D

User avatar
robbielyn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1298
Joined: Wed May 07, 2003 9:45 am
Location: brooksville, fl

Re: Re:

#3163 Postby robbielyn » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:33 pm

robbielyn wrote:
JonathanBelles wrote:Post tonight on Erika, 99L:
http://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/29/er ... e-islands/

hi I live in spring hill fl. 10 miles from the coast. will we have any sustained winds at all like 25 or 30 or will we be out of the wind field d/t erika being 100-150 away from the coast out in the gulf?

also will there be any high pressure gradient winds? sorry I see u r from st pete.
0 likes   
Robbielyn McCrary
I know just about enough to sound like I know what I'm talking about sometimes. But for your safety please follow the nhc for truly professional forecasting. :D

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

Re: Re:

#3164 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:37 pm

robbielyn wrote:
robbielyn wrote:
JonathanBelles wrote:Post tonight on Erika, 99L:
http://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/29/er ... e-islands/

hi I live in spring hill fl. 10 miles from the coast. will we have any sustained winds at all like 25 or 30 or will we be out of the wind field d/t erika being 100-150 away from the coast out in the gulf?

also will there be any high pressure gradient winds? sorry I see u r from st pete.


Expect a few days like today in Spring Hill. On and off showers and storms, with occasionally gusty conditions. I would not be surprised to see gusts up to 25 mph from the system. Embedded day time thunderstorms will come with the small chance of severe weather as they did in Polk county today. Winds could be higher in those storms, but they are nothing out of the ordinary for this time of the year.
0 likes   

User avatar
Kohlecane
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 593
Age: 33
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:03 pm
Location: Beaufort, SC

Re: Re:

#3165 Postby Kohlecane » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:39 pm

robbielyn wrote:
JonathanBelles wrote:Post tonight on Erika, 99L:
http://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/29/er ... e-islands/

hi I live in spring hill fl 40miles northwest of tama 10 miles from the coast. will we have any sustained winds at all like 25 or 30 or will we be out of the wind field d/t erika being 100-150 away from the coast out in the gulf?

I'm from Jax but am currently at Hernado beach visiting the old folks I'd say depending where you are in spring hill we will get no winds lots of rain but little wind..anywhere from 19 east
0 likes   
Once I see the REDS and GREENS Converge on a Base Velocity. ... I'm There!!

This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18

User avatar
robbielyn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1298
Joined: Wed May 07, 2003 9:45 am
Location: brooksville, fl

Re: Re:

#3166 Postby robbielyn » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:59 pm

Kohlecane wrote:
robbielyn wrote:
JonathanBelles wrote:Post tonight on Erika, 99L:
http://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/29/er ... e-islands/

hi I live in spring hill fl 40miles northwest of tama 10 miles from the coast. will we have any sustained winds at all like 25 or 30 or will we be out of the wind field d/t erika being 100-150 away from the coast out in the gulf?

I'm from Jax but am currently at Hernado beach visiting the old folks I'd say depending where you are in spring hill we will get no winds lots of rain but little wind..anywhere from 19 east

well that stinks lol. I wouldnt mind a little wind otherwise it's just like a couple of weeks ago. I was wanting some interesting weather but nothing serious. but 25 gusts mean 10-15 sustained whoopie. im just glad I dont live in low lying areas like new port richey. oh well its been interesting. at least we dodged the bullet hurricane wise
0 likes   
Robbielyn McCrary
I know just about enough to sound like I know what I'm talking about sometimes. But for your safety please follow the nhc for truly professional forecasting. :D

HouGulf2011
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 3
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Jun 01, 2011 2:59 pm
Location: Cocoa, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3167 Postby HouGulf2011 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 9:07 pm

I don't usually post but I'm always reading. I live in Central Florida and we have had heavy storms today and this evening. HUGE Lightning bolts just bolted out across the street and scared the mess out of me. Most of my friends here are chasers are weather photographers so I will post if anything unusual happens.
0 likes   

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3168 Postby floridasun78 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 9:27 pm

miami few line rain this afternoon and night we have few thunder storm too
0 likes   

User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3169 Postby tailgater » Sat Aug 29, 2015 10:14 pm

The low level Circulation that was spit out after Erika crash into Hispaniola is now heading to extreme south Fla or the Keys. gain convection, still needs to watched in case the shear lets up in eastern Gulf.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3170 Postby Sanibel » Sat Aug 29, 2015 10:17 pm

That weak curl of convection south of the mid-Keys is Erika's ghost.


We had a real dumper in that first band.
0 likes   

User avatar
beoumont
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 473
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2011 4:13 pm
Location: East Central Florida
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3171 Postby beoumont » Sat Aug 29, 2015 11:02 pm

Here's a short range still shot of Miami's radar showing Erika's ghost/skeleton:

Image
0 likes   
List of 79 tropical cyclones intercepted by Richard Horodner:
http://www.canebeard.com/page/page/572246.htm

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3172 Postby floridasun78 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 11:13 pm

beoumont wrote:Here's a short range still shot of Miami's radar showing Erika's ghost/skeleton:

Image
yes i saw that a lot rain keys and south fl
0 likes   

User avatar
Miami Storm Tracker
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 910
Age: 67
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2010 10:12 pm
Location: Key Largo, Fla.
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3173 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Sat Aug 29, 2015 11:16 pm

More lighting than rain here in Key Largo
0 likes   

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3174 Postby eastcoastFL » Sat Aug 29, 2015 11:49 pm

Getting our srrongest squall so far in Palm City now endless loud thunder and tons of lighting. Also havw a monsoon style down pour right now.

Its somewhat interesting late night and not messing up schools or work so its actually perfect.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

AutoPenalti
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4030
Age: 29
Joined: Mon Aug 17, 2015 4:16 pm
Location: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida

#3175 Postby AutoPenalti » Sat Aug 29, 2015 11:53 pm

No rain in Broward so far.
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.


Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)

TCVN
is a weighted averaged

AutoPenalti
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4030
Age: 29
Joined: Mon Aug 17, 2015 4:16 pm
Location: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida

Re:

#3176 Postby AutoPenalti » Sat Aug 29, 2015 11:54 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:No rain in Broward so far.

...and just as I post this, we get thunder.
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.


Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)

TCVN
is a weighted averaged

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

#3177 Postby floridasun78 » Sun Aug 30, 2015 12:00 am

some storm band off miami beach i see lighting too east
0 likes   

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: Re:

#3178 Postby eastcoastFL » Sun Aug 30, 2015 12:01 am

AutoPenalti wrote:
AutoPenalti wrote:No rain in Broward so far.

...and just as I post this, we get thunder.



Haha. And my major squall has ended. We've had a handfull of on and off down pours but this was the first big heavy one.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re:

#3179 Postby floridasun78 » Sun Aug 30, 2015 12:01 am

spiral wrote:Image
few good CG's... mostly it looks crawlers.

what site you got that from?
0 likes   

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

#3180 Postby floridasun78 » Sun Aug 30, 2015 12:10 am

ty for link we a lot storm off Miami beach here stormy night
0 likes   


Return to “2015”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests