ATL: FRED- Remnants - Discussion
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- ScottNAtlanta
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I'd say it looks like Fred now. Erika never looked this good
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12
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- northjaxpro
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It does amaze me how some people forget about the Cape Verde Islands as being.inhabited lol...
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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- northjaxpro
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Re:
ScottNAtlanta wrote:I'd say it looks like Fred now. Erika never looked this good
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12
I agree with you. Look at thiis thing, based on satellite presentation alone it is Fred imo. An impressive looking tropical cyclone for sure.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
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Re:
Yep. They do it with Bermuda too. S2K really ought to have a rule that no storm having a potential impact on any inhabited landmass be referred to as a fish. Many of us find it offensive.northjaxpro wrote:It does amaze me how some people forget about the Cape Verde Islands as being.inhabited lol...
Anyway, kinda getting off-topic here. As to 99L, it sure looks like it means business!

Last edited by abajan on Sat Aug 29, 2015 6:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- galaxy401
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80%
Satellite pictures indicate that thunderstorm activity associated
with a low pressure area that recently moved off of the west coast
of Africa is becoming better organized, and a tropical depression
could be forming. If this development trend continues, advisories
would likely be initiated tonight or Sunday. This system is
expected to move northwest toward the Cape Verde Islands at 10 to
15 mph, and interests in those islands should closely monitor the
progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
Satellite pictures indicate that thunderstorm activity associated
with a low pressure area that recently moved off of the west coast
of Africa is becoming better organized, and a tropical depression
could be forming. If this development trend continues, advisories
would likely be initiated tonight or Sunday. This system is
expected to move northwest toward the Cape Verde Islands at 10 to
15 mph, and interests in those islands should closely monitor the
progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
- EquusStorm
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Yeah, I haven't seen a tropical wave come off the coast of Africa this organized in quite a while. I guess it won't take much for them to pull the trigger on advisories.
If I recall correctly, the Cape Verde Islands are very mountainous and rather prone to mudslides and other severe impacts from heavy rain, so it could be quite a concern. Fran in 1984 killed 31 people on the islands from flooding and mudslides.
If I recall correctly, the Cape Verde Islands are very mountainous and rather prone to mudslides and other severe impacts from heavy rain, so it could be quite a concern. Fran in 1984 killed 31 people on the islands from flooding and mudslides.
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Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
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I have a friend from here in the UK that is currently on holiday in Santa Maria, Cape Verde.... she has not been given any info on the potential for bad weather and is a little concerned.
What kind of time frame would we be looking at for interaction with this invest and the islands? I enitially told her Monday/Tuesday but could someone more experienced give me a better idea so I can give her the best advise.
Thanks
What kind of time frame would we be looking at for interaction with this invest and the islands? I enitially told her Monday/Tuesday but could someone more experienced give me a better idea so I can give her the best advise.
Thanks
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L- Discussion
Impressive invest.


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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L- Discussion
As of 00:00 UTC Aug 30, 2015:
Location: 10.9°N 17.8°W
Maximum Winds: 25 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1010 mb
Radius of Circulation: 180 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 60 NM
Location: 10.9°N 17.8°W
Maximum Winds: 25 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1010 mb
Radius of Circulation: 180 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 60 NM
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- StormTracker
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L- Discussion
The Cape Verde islands are so small and 99L is so big, they need to use the eye-test since there will be no recon for a while and issue some kind of warnings tonite don't you think? Not to jump the gun on this, but just to give them a heads-up of some sort? I know this doesn't look right, an invest jumping off the coast of Africa and heading straight towards them, but hey, it's happened 2wice before from what I've read in this thread! And to my untrained-eyes, I would skip the TD and go with a TS!
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just educated opinions of this poster. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just educated opinions of this poster. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Something's wrong when you regret, things that haven't happened yet!
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TXNT26 KNES 300013
TCSNTL
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (99L)
B. 29/2345Z
C. 11.1N
D. 17.6W
E. THREE/MET-10
F. T1.5/1.5/D1.5/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/SSMIS/AMSU
H. REMARKS...MICROWAVE AND GEOSTATIONARY IMAGERY SUGGESTING THE SYSTEM
HAS CONSOLIDATED AND IS BETTER DEFINED IN THE LOW LEVELS. DT IS 1.5
BASED ON .3-.35 BANDING. MET IS 1.0 BASED ON DEVELOPMENT COMPARED TO
24 HOURS AGO. PT IS 1.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
29/2038Z 11.3N 17.5W SSMIS
29/2214Z 11.5N 17.5W AMSU
...LIDDICK
TCSNTL
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (99L)
B. 29/2345Z
C. 11.1N
D. 17.6W
E. THREE/MET-10
F. T1.5/1.5/D1.5/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/SSMIS/AMSU
H. REMARKS...MICROWAVE AND GEOSTATIONARY IMAGERY SUGGESTING THE SYSTEM
HAS CONSOLIDATED AND IS BETTER DEFINED IN THE LOW LEVELS. DT IS 1.5
BASED ON .3-.35 BANDING. MET IS 1.0 BASED ON DEVELOPMENT COMPARED TO
24 HOURS AGO. PT IS 1.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
29/2038Z 11.3N 17.5W SSMIS
29/2214Z 11.5N 17.5W AMSU
...LIDDICK
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ATL: INVEST 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

Here we go again, another system that looks good on satellite but doesn't look at all closed on satellite.
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- HURAKAN
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Discussion
Hammy wrote:Here we go again, another system that looks good on satellite but doesn't look at all closed on satellite.
It would be difficult for the system to cut off the Monsoon trough until it pulls away .. the resolution of the ASCAT pass may not be able to resolve if it's completely closed or not
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L- Discussion
Hammy,you posted that ASCAT at the 90L thread but I moved it here. 

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L- Discussion
cycloneye wrote:Hammy,you posted that ASCAT at the 90L thread but I moved it here.
I got the threads confused, watching Erika's back and fourth for three days sort of fried my brain.

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No upgrade by the looks of it, as expected. Hopefully the rain isn't nearly as bad there as Erika caused in the Antilles.
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- cycloneye
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Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:This would be a great time for a Recon flight to check, but there are no planes stationed in Cape Verde.
Maybe the Global Hawk?
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