cycloneye wrote:AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
640 AM AST FRI AUG 28 2015
.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS
MORNING.
&&
.DISCUSSION...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS
RANGED BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES. HIGHEST AMOUNT WERE MEASURED
ACROSS THE LOIZA BASIN AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WILL CONTINUE
TO AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS MORNING. RAIN AND THUNDER
POTENTIAL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS
THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA. ADDITIONAL 1-3
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE STILL EXPECTED. WINDS
OVER THE AREA WILL SUBSIDE BUT WILL CONTINUE AT TROPICAL STORM
FORCE AT TIMES INTO THE MORNING MORNING. PLEASE REFER TO TCPAT5
AND WFO SJU TROPICAL PRODUCTS FOR DETAILS.
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA WILL MOVE AWAY LATER TODAY.
HOWEVER THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO RESULT IN TRADE WIND
SHOWERS ACROSS WINDWARD AREAS FOLLOWED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER AND WEST OF PUERTO RICO SATURDAY. NEXT TROPICAL
WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SUNDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. A DRIER AIR MASS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN BY THE END OF THE NEXT WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION...CLOUDY SKIES WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN ASSOCIATED
WITH TS ERIKA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL TERMINALS IN THE
MORNING HOURS WITH CIGS NEAR FL050. CONDS GRADUALLY IMPROVING
AFTER 28/16Z BUT VCSH/VCTS IS POSSIBLE. SOME UNCERTAINTY ON
FORECAST SO TEMPO AND PROB GROUPS LEFT OUT. WINDS CURRENTLY GUSTING
AROUND 25-30 KNOTS BUT GRADUALLY DECREASING TO AROUND 15 KNOTS BY
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
&&
.MARINE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY AS TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA CONTINUES TO PASS THROUGH THE REGIONAL WATERS. HIGHEST
WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE FOUND THIS MORNING IN THE CARIBBEAN WATERS
AS WELL AS THE MONA PASSAGE AND THEN IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS LATER
TODAY. PLEASE REFER TO MARINE PRODUCTS FOR MORE DETAILS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 85 77 90 80 / 90 30 30 40
STT 85 77 90 80 / 90 30 30 40
Where are the heavy rains?? I'm hardly getting reports of a few drizzles here and there.