ATL: NINE - Remnants - Discussion
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion
I am really confused, is there even anything there?
saved loop
Wave ahead of this has a lot more convection.
saved loop
Wave ahead of this has a lot more convection.
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M a r k
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- DESTRUCTION5
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Re:
Alyono wrote:I wasn't expecting these overnight developments...
Or lack there of. Lol
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GATOR NATION IS E V E R Y W H E R E !
Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion
It looks like the energy over night transferred a few hundred miles west to the wave in front of 93L,vey weird it just disappeared.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion
Well, this is interesting...
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
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- gatorcane
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Very curious what NHC does with this in the next outlook. Whatever happened, all the models but the Euro might be seriously fooled here and the Euro is not completely off the hook as at one point several days ago it was developing this system. The Euro has done poorly this year also but it did drop development of this invest several runs ago but I guess NHC thought it was an outlier. That includes the bullish GFS which may have a HUGE misfire on this calling for an eventual major hurricane in the long-range.
Pretty amazing how this invest goes from something quite impressive to barely anything overnight.
Pretty amazing how this invest goes from something quite impressive to barely anything overnight.
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- wxman57
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion
The MDR remains quite hostile toward development for the most part. The models haven't been informed of that fact.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion
dumb amateur question here: what does 'MDR' stand for exactly? I know it has to do the tropical development area for the Atlantic basin in general. I'm guessing it stands for "Major Development Region"
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion
otowntiger wrote:dumb amateur question here: what does 'MDR' stand for exactly? I know it has to do the tropical development area for the Atlantic basin in general. I'm guessing it stands for "Major Development Region"
Close, or good enough. Main Development Region.
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M a r k
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- wxman57
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion
otowntiger wrote:dumb amateur question here: what does 'MDR' stand for exactly? I know it has to do the tropical development area for the Atlantic basin in general. I'm guessing it stands for "Major Development Region"
The MDR is highlighted by the purple box on the image below. It extends from Africa to the west-central Caribbean (just west of Jamaica):
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- ConvergenceZone
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- WPBWeather
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Re:
ConvergenceZone wrote:Yep, that's 2015 For ya....I'm ready to stick a fork in 2015.......Bring on Non ElNino 2016...I can't wait!
Nope. Plenty more action for 2015.
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- ConvergenceZone
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Re: Re:
WPBWeather wrote:ConvergenceZone wrote:Yep, that's 2015 For ya....I'm ready to stick a fork in 2015.......Bring on Non ElNino 2016...I can't wait!
Nope. Plenty more action for 2015.
true, plenty of invests, perhaps a depression or two before it gets torn apart.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion
A low pressure system located several hundred miles west-southwest
of the Cape Verde Islands has produced little shower activity today
due to dry air nearby. However, upper-level winds are expected to
be conducive for tropical cyclone formation and this system is still
expected to become a tropical depression during the next couple of
days while it moves generally northwestward across the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
of the Cape Verde Islands has produced little shower activity today
due to dry air nearby. However, upper-level winds are expected to
be conducive for tropical cyclone formation and this system is still
expected to become a tropical depression during the next couple of
days while it moves generally northwestward across the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
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