ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

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ROCK
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#221 Postby ROCK » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:06 pm

just saying....that midlevel low off Galveston is deeper than 99L and it doesn't have an invest tag....LMAO...99L will be inland by tomorrow.

speaking of that low..nice MLC showing up on radar....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-rgb.html

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes


maybe the plane should turn around... :lol:
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Re: Re:

#222 Postby Hammy » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:20 pm

NDG wrote:
Hammy wrote:
NDG wrote:So far recon is finding SSW winds west of the vorticity.


Likely associated with the front--ASCAT showed a closed low but the northerly winds were in a fairly small area near and under the convection.


I just realized that the recon is still flying at around 15k feet so those winds are at the mid levels, the plane has not descended yet.


I see them looping around a few times, is they likely about to descend there?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#223 Postby Sanibel » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:46 pm

No rain no wind here but some of the most ominous clouds I've seen all year just off to the west.
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#224 Postby Hammy » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:00 pm

Looks like they're headed towards the possible low center now. This'll be the fourth system to get up into the NE Gulf this year (the other three being Erika's remnants and two almost-depressions) so let's see if we can actually get a classified system out of this one.

That being said I think the low near Texas may be interfering with the inflow.
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#225 Postby NDG » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:20 pm

Per recon reports it looks elongated and weak, the circulation.
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#226 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:21 pm

AL, 99, 2015092818, , BEST, 0, 261N, 861W, 30, 1007, LO

I wonder where the 30 knots are coming from...
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Re:

#227 Postby NDG » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:24 pm

Extratropical94 wrote:AL, 99, 2015092818, , BEST, 0, 261N, 861W, 30, 1007, LO

I wonder where the 30 knots are coming from...



From earlier ASCAT, east of the vorticity.
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Re: Re:

#228 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:27 pm

NDG wrote:
Extratropical94 wrote:AL, 99, 2015092818, , BEST, 0, 261N, 861W, 30, 1007, LO

I wonder where the 30 knots are coming from...



From earlier ASCAT, east of the vorticity.


Ah okay, thanks. Let's see if those winds can be confirmed by recon.
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#229 Postby caneman » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:27 pm

Is it a TD then?
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Re:

#230 Postby NDG » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:32 pm

caneman wrote:Is it a TD then?


No defined LLC found yet, nothing but southerly winds near the 18z Fixed Center.
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#231 Postby caneman » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:34 pm

Pressure 29 74 and falling fairly fast at.buoy 42003. Lots of West winds at other buoys.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#232 Postby wxman57 » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:38 pm

We have quite a few offshore obs in the area, none of which is reporting anything NEAR 30 kts. I haven't seen any 20kt winds yet. No LLC = no TD = development chances near zero, as it will be inland tomorrow morning.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#233 Postby caneman » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:38 pm

ROCK wrote:just saying....that midlevel low off Galveston is deeper than 99L and it doesn't have an invest tag....LMAO...99L will be inland by tomorrow.

speaking of that low..nice MLC showing up on radar....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-rgb.html

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes


maybe the plane should turn around... :lol:
A naked swirl and devoid of convection. Last I checked nowhere near the pressure falls.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#234 Postby caneman » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:42 pm

wxman57 wrote:We have quite a few offshore obs in the area, none of which is reporting anything NEAR 30 kts. I haven't seen any 20kt winds yet. No LLC = no TD = development chances near zero, as it will be inland tomorrow morning.
hate to disagree with a met but some buoys showing 25 kts winds and over 30 in gusts.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#235 Postby NDG » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:44 pm

caneman wrote:
wxman57 wrote:We have quite a few offshore obs in the area, none of which is reporting anything NEAR 30 kts. I haven't seen any 20kt winds yet. No LLC = no TD = development chances near zero, as it will be inland tomorrow morning.
hate to disagree with a met but some buoys showing 25 kts winds and over 30 in gusts.


I agree about the higher winds but still no defined LLC found.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#236 Postby stormlover2013 » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:47 pm

we have some un coachable people on here lol
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#237 Postby caneman » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:49 pm

Yes, it is dispersed. Can it tighten up within 36 hours? I've seen it.before in this area. Probably less than 50 percent chance but fun to watch none the less. I haven't seen wxman57 break out bones yet, is he tettering?,lol. Btw, this is only my opinion and I most likely don't know what the heck im talking about so take it with a grain of salt. That's my disclaimer.
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#238 Postby caneman » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:52 pm

Recon thread is reporting t.s. stength winds but can't close a low off yet.
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Re:

#239 Postby Hammy » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:55 pm

caneman wrote:Recon thread is reporting t.s. stength winds but can't close a low off yet.


There may be too much interaction with the Texas low at this point, the low clouds which were trying to wrap around earlier seem like they're all being pushed towards the east now.
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#240 Postby caneman » Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:57 pm

You might be right hammy. Upon further inspection.
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