gatorcane wrote:Track still well east of the United States but highly uncertain. That track the ECMWF showed out to sea is carrying some weight no doubt.
The Euro is the fig leaf allowing the NHC to continue to keep this offshore.
They may have not adjusted the track very far west, but in their wind probability product, they added a chance of hurricane force winds at stops all along the east coast from Wilmington to Montauk Point. The probabilities right now are low (less than 4%), but with the 5PM package they only had a 1% hurricane probability at Hatteras. Meanwhile, San Salvador in the Bahamas is at 33% for hurricane winds.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 0254.shtml?