ATL: JOAQUIN - Models

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Andrew92
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#881 Postby Andrew92 » Thu Oct 01, 2015 12:52 am

And for some of us, it isn't even morning yet.

In any event, going to bed, but might peer at the Euro as it's running as a guest while drifting off. I may or may not be online tomorrow night, as I'm packing to go to California for the weekend (and not to a valley with a certain name about a couple hours north of LA). I thought all for pleasure, but that may be only 50 percent now, with the other 50 being to grow back the hair I've pulled out tonight looking at the models!

-Andrew92
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#882 Postby LarryWx » Thu Oct 01, 2015 12:53 am

Andrew92 wrote:And for some of us, it isn't even morning yet.

In any event, going to bed, but might peer at the Euro as it's running as a guest while drifting off. I may or may not be online tomorrow night, as I'm packing to go to California for the weekend (and not to a valley with a certain name about a couple hours north of LA). I thought all for pleasure, but that may be only 50 percent now, with the other 50 being to grow back the hair I've pulled out tonight looking at the models!

-Andrew92


I wish I were in your time zone. Getting the Euro starting at 11 PM or midnight, whichever one it is. Nice!
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#883 Postby windnrain » Thu Oct 01, 2015 12:56 am

So who will be posting Euro?
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Re: Re:

#884 Postby Andrew92 » Thu Oct 01, 2015 12:57 am

LarryWx wrote:
Andrew92 wrote:And for some of us, it isn't even morning yet.

In any event, going to bed, but might peer at the Euro as it's running as a guest while drifting off. I may or may not be online tomorrow night, as I'm packing to go to California for the weekend (and not to a valley with a certain name about a couple hours north of LA). I thought all for pleasure, but that may be only 50 percent now, with the other 50 being to grow back the hair I've pulled out tonight looking at the models!

-Andrew92


I wish I were in your time zone. Getting the Euro starting at 11 PM or midnight, whichever one it is. Nice!


It's almost 11 here, hence why I might look, but not be online. Anyway, goodnight, I won't promise being on tomorrow or for a couple days but will do what I can....but I need this trip to take my mind off this storm too!

-Andrew92
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#885 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 01, 2015 12:57 am

new EC shows a due south dive during the next 3 hours...

however, the position may verify. May be making a trichoidal loop
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#886 Postby windnrain » Thu Oct 01, 2015 12:59 am

Alyono wrote:new EC shows a due south dive during the next 3 hours...

however, the position may verify. May be making a trichoidal loop



So, a fun start
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#887 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:00 am

through 27 hours, it is SOUTH of the central Bahamas. It has crossed
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#888 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:04 am

seems to be turning back north, so no, its NOT going to Florida
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#889 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:04 am

EC through 39 hours is SW of the previous
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#890 Postby LarryWx » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:04 am

0z vs 12Z Euro: SE upper low and Joaquin a little further SSW as he first comes out of the Bahamas.
Last edited by LarryWx on Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:06 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#891 Postby Hammy » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:05 am

instant weather maps Euro is not fullres correct? And would warnings be needed for Cuba should this run verity?
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#892 Postby txwatcher91 » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:06 am

Trough looks deeper and to cut off sooner on euro through 24. Maybe a further west solution.
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#893 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:07 am

at 48 hours, may be an ENE motion starting
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#894 Postby LarryWx » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:07 am

0Z Euro: Joaquin to stay out to sea. Fourth run in a row. The King is back? Of course, the King was the first to show a big US hit. But we can forgive him for that since that was when that was way out in forecast time. ;)
Last edited by LarryWx on Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:09 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re:

#895 Postby summersquall » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:07 am

Alyono wrote:seems to be turning back north, so no, its NOT going to Florida

Thank you! :) I greatly appreciate all your posts and will rest a bit easier tonight.
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Re:

#896 Postby caneman » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:09 am

LarryWx wrote:0Z Euro: Joaquin to stay out to sea. Fourth run in a row. The King is back? Of course, the King was the first to show a big US hit. But we can forgive him for that since that was when that was way out in forecast time. ;)

Further west though?
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#897 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:10 am

At 57 hours, the EC is nearly 3 degrees south of the MU. It has shifted right from 12Z
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Re:

#898 Postby caneman » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:11 am

LarryWx wrote:0Z Euro: Joaquin to stay out to sea. Fourth run in a row. The King is back? Of course, the King was the first to show a big US hit. But we can forgive him for that since that was when that was way out in forecast time. ;)
of course that could also mean they could end up being wrong 4 times in a row :lol:
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#899 Postby txwatcher91 » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:13 am

Alyono wrote:At 57 hours, the EC is nearly 3 degrees south of the MU. It has shifted right from 12Z


Further OTS or just slower?
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#900 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Oct 01, 2015 1:14 am

00z Euro @ 96 hours ejecting OTS

Image
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