5:30 PM TWO=Somewhat bullish with wave east of antilles

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Sep 19, 2003 4:28 pm

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... BNT20.KNHC

Hummm let's watch that shear if it fades away because this wave has then chance to develop.

#2 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Fri Sep 19, 2003 4:33 pm

Very true. I think a NW movement would be expected if anything began to develop. Alot of moisture there for sure.

#3 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Fri Sep 19, 2003 4:35 pm

GEEZZZZZZZZ...Guess my quote on the other post....is n/a....

Amanzi · #4 Postby **Amanzi** » Fri Sep 19, 2003 4:36 pm

Does anyone know when the shear is forecast to lessen in that area?

#5 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Fri Sep 19, 2003 4:58 pm

Luis, that's certainly the most "bullish" TPC has been on this wave. I'm thinking it might have a shot.

#6 Postby **HurricaneQueen** » Fri Sep 19, 2003 5:04 pm

Hmmmm! Complex system? Sounds complicated (pun intended). :lol:

Since it will be slow to develop maybe we can catch up on things around the house. Oh, wait, I forgot-that's no fun!

Have a great weekend everyone. Thinking of all of you up north who will be doing more than simple housecleaning. Be careful!
Lynn

Steve H. · #7 Postby **Steve H.** » Fri Sep 19, 2003 5:14 pm

Not terribly bullish at all right now. There is a low out there, but its east of the TUTT which is forecast to drop to the SW. Development is possible but should it occur, this system would move off to the NW. Two or perhaps three cold fronts will be swinging thru the lower 48 during the next week, so odds are if this develops, it should stay to the east. However, Luis may get affected by it. More noteworthy is the low forecast to develop further east, which shows up now on the GFS and UKMET, NOGAPS, and pointed out in an earlier post. This has some potential down the road due to its low latitude. Timing for this gets interesting for a possible long tracker as it appears it may get under a ridge building across the US out into the western Atlantic (odd looking ridge). but its days away from development. Area in the western Caribbean also shows some potential 4 days out on NOGAPS. Get some rest, the tropics will get active again

#8 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Fri Sep 19, 2003 5:32 pm

Nice wording by Avila.

ColdFront77 · #9 Postby **ColdFront77** » Fri Sep 19, 2003 6:07 pm

Steve H. wrote:Not terribly bullish at all right now. There is a low out there, but its east of the TUTT which is forecast to drop to the SW. Development is possible but should it occur, this system would move off to the NW. Two or perhaps three cold fronts will be swinging thru the lower 48 during the next week, so odds are if this develops, it should stay to the east.

At this time, the cold front approaching the east coast isn't expected to move through Florida.

Steve H. · #10 Postby **Steve H.** » Fri Sep 19, 2003 10:48 pm

But half the models have a trough moving into the east. Cold front probably was not the right word.

ColdFront77 · #11 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sat Sep 20, 2003 1:59 am

Okay, Steve. Sorry about that.

5:30 PM TWO=Somewhat bullish with wave east of antilles

5:30 PM TWO=Somewhat bullish with wave east of antilles

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