2015 ACE - ATL: 59.94 - EPAC: 287.667 - WPAC: 478.335

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#81 Postby Extratropical94 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 6:50 am

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:WPac is now 323.2, maybe a glitch on Maue's site. The 323.2 unit reading is already justified by Dr Klotzbach


IMO, Kilo could bring the ACE to 350 or more.
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#82 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sat Aug 29, 2015 9:28 pm

EPac ACE may probably be pushed above average (165-170) by the three major hurricanes active currently over the basin. Currently, the East Pac is now 132.76
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#83 Postby dexterlabio » Sat Aug 29, 2015 9:52 pm

QUestion though...I've read a post saying that the ACE units from Genevieve wasn't counted for the WPAC, is that true? If that's so, then whatever ACE that will be raked by Loke when it reaches the WPAC won't be counted as well.
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#84 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sat Aug 29, 2015 11:51 pm

dexterlabio wrote:QUestion though...I've read a post saying that the ACE units from Genevieve wasn't counted for the WPAC, is that true? If that's so, then whatever ACE that will be raked by Loke when it reaches the WPAC won't be counted as well.

Genevieve was counted, Halola as well. Loke already dissipated, Kilo is about to enter and will become a super typhoon. ACE will always be counted even if it enter's JMA's jurisdiction or area of responsibility
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#85 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Aug 30, 2015 4:36 am

Category 4 triplets must be driving E/CPac ACE up a wall right now.
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#86 Postby Extratropical94 » Sun Aug 30, 2015 5:40 am

1900hurricane wrote:Category 4 triplets must be driving E/CPac ACE up a wall right now.


Those three combined have already contributed over 33 units and are currently producing around 15 units per day.
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Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 16.4925 - EPAC:120.572 - WPAC: 323.02

#87 Postby Ntxw » Mon Aug 31, 2015 9:03 pm

Numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site as of 8/31/2015. WPAC hasn't added significant ACE since the wonder twins (though Kilo will be soon). EPAC went nuts and swelled it's numbers with three category 4 systems simultaneously. Atlantic the past week added with Erica and now Hurricane Fred. Global ACE is still rising at record pace.
______________________________

N. Hemisphere: 502.035 [Normal: 256]

Western Pacific: 318.368 [Normal: 134]

North Atlantic: 19.87 [Normal: 34]

Eastern Pacific: 159.1675 [Normal:79]

North Indian: 4.625 [Normal: 7]



http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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#88 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Sep 01, 2015 12:07 am

The triplets are quickly closing in on 60 units of ACE between the three of them. This may not be too much of a stretch considering 3>2, but I'd say chances look good that the total of 75+ units accumulated by the recent WPac twins will be exceeded by these three. The entire north Pacific basin is mad money this year.
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#89 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Sep 02, 2015 11:18 pm

The triplets have now exceeded a combined 80 units of ACE, and all three are currently at hurricane/typhoon intensity once again. Could we gun for 100 between the three?
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Re:

#90 Postby Ntxw » Wed Sep 02, 2015 11:26 pm

1900hurricane wrote:The triplets have now exceeded a combined 80 units of ACE, and all three are currently at hurricane/typhoon intensity once again. Could we gun for 100 between the three?


I think it could be done, Jimena will be going for awhile still and quite possibly become a 40+ unit system alone. Truly extraordinary and definitely the highlight of the resurgence of global ACE from the El Nino after some years of below normal. Between the Triplets and Wonder Twins of the WPAC August has been a huge ACE month putting out over 150+ units for the Pacific Ocean. As Philip Klotzbach said in a tweet, it's rare to have three cat 4+ combined in all basins at the same time, no less having them all occur simultaneously in the same basin.

Depending on what source, though all relatively similar, this is within average ACE accumulated for an entire normal Atlantic season!
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Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 22.175 - EPAC: 185.948 - WPAC: 318.368

#91 Postby Ntxw » Mon Sep 07, 2015 9:52 am

Numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site as of 9/7/2015. WPAC hasn't added much ACE and is relatively quiet. Atlantic is adding a little bit with Grace. EPAC is still racking it up with Linda and on pace for a top 3 finish already above the very active 2014 season. Of the 555 NHEM units the North Pacific Ocean accounts for 526 of those units! That's about 94% of NHEM ACE total which is already about twice the normal activity.
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N. Hemisphere: 555.1455 [Normal: 283]

Western Pacific: 318.613 [Normal: 145]

North Atlantic: 24.045 [Normal: 44]

Eastern Pacific: 207.8625 [Normal:86]

North Indian: 4.625 [Normal: 7]



http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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#92 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Sep 07, 2015 9:49 pm

Even the Atlantic, although below normal, certainly isn't at "dead" pace.
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#93 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Tue Sep 08, 2015 10:59 pm

Both WPAC and EPAC are above their yearly climo; WPAC is at 338.05 while the EPAC is at 199.617, value fixed since Kilo entered the WPAC
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Re:

#94 Postby euro6208 » Wed Sep 09, 2015 5:07 am

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Both WPAC and EPAC are above their yearly climo; WPAC is at 338.05 while the EPAC is at 199.617, value fixed since Kilo entered the WPAC


Now that's what i call stolen ACE... :lol:
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#95 Postby galaxy401 » Fri Sep 11, 2015 4:28 pm

With Henri gone, there are no active storms worldwide so the ACE totals are taking a break.
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Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 24.5725 - EPAC: 202.1125 - WPAC: 338.173

#96 Postby Ntxw » Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:58 am

Numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site as of 9/13/2015. As of this week very little ACE was added globally as all three basins are relatively quiet. Both Pacific basins continues to remain well above the average climo while the Atlantic is less than half the average activity ACE. To bring this up to near normal the basin would need a Gonzalo like track and intensity (~25 units). Meaning a long lived major+ to last roughly a week.
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N. Hemisphere: 572.4270 [Normal: 318]

Western Pacific: 340.62 [Normal: 158]

North Atlantic: 25.5525 [Normal: 56]

Eastern Pacific: 201.62955 [Normal:96]

North Indian: 4.625 [Normal: 7]


*For a comparison (as peak season date has passed) in the Atlantic there have been quite several named systems the past few weeks. Erika, Fred, Grace, and Henri. One became a hurricane (Fred) but all four only had a combined ACE of about 10-12 units. Danny alone as a short lived (tiny) major produced roughly 9 units. A decent sized cat 1 sustained hurricane usually produces roughly 8-10 units depending on longevity in this basin. From about August 25th to Sept 13th the Atlantic ACE gain should've have been about 35 units near peak season. So roughly during the peak weeks the basin has produced a third of normal ACE.


http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 25.5525 - EPAC: 201.6295 - WPAC: 340.62

#97 Postby Ntxw » Sat Sep 19, 2015 9:39 pm

Numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site as of 9/19/2015. Not too much ACE was added over the last week since the last update. WPAC added a little over 10 units with Krovanh and Atlantic tacked on a third of a unit with Ida. The EPAC was adjusted down a little bit. To note the Pacific basins continue to be amongst the top 5 season pace on ACE, the Atlantic is on pace for a bottom 5. For the East Pacific it is good enough for third place highest, for the Atlantic it would be third place lowest if their seasons ended today.
______________________________

N. Hemisphere: 587.124 [Normal: 355]

Western Pacific: 356.317 [Normal: 173]

North Atlantic: 25.92 [Normal: 69]

Eastern Pacific: 200.262 [Normal:104]

North Indian: 4.625 [Normal: 7]


http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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#98 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Tue Sep 29, 2015 7:03 am

Um... correction in the ACE :)

It is actually close to 369-372 units after Dujuan and is nowhere near the neighborhood of 323. It's also an error in Ryan Maue's calculations so it is advisable to use the values listed in more credible sources (tallied every six hours) in Wikipedia, which can be viewed in the season summary section of the 2015 season article. EPac is at 204, much lower, yet among the top five highest on record since reliable data came from 1971.
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#99 Postby SouthDadeFish » Tue Oct 06, 2015 6:32 am

According to Ryan Maue, Joaquin has added 25.69 units of ACE so far, bumping the ATL all the way up to 53.86. So one storm was basically half the season's ACE.
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Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 53.86 - EPAC: 231.128 - WPAC: 337.29

#100 Postby euro6208 » Tue Oct 06, 2015 6:50 am

Reading some discrepancy between Wikipedia and Ryan Maue's Site.

Wikipedia has the season at 379.1225 while Maue only list it at 337.29???

Either way, normal YTD is 208, over 162% of normal if you use the lower number.

Normal YTD is 302...
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