EPAC: PATRICIA - Post-Tropical

[CrazyC83]

Man. Cant. Get. Enough. Of. Satellite. Loops.

Recon will likely be sampling it in its peak state. Hope the pilot is careful and they sample the storm safely. Looks like it will be the strongest storm to be sampled since Wilma?

Certainly since Felix in 2007, and in that storm, a mission had to be aborted due to graupel and turbulence.

[TheStormExpert]

Last Saved Visible of the Day.

[supercane4867]

I cane only hope if someone just inject recon into this right now...

[Kingarabian]

Not that it's needed, but of course there are no new microwave images.

[supercane4867]

8.3

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.4 / 938.5mb/124.6kt

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.4 6.9 8.3

[Yellow Evan]

Man. Cant. Get. Enough. Of. Satellite. Loops.

Recon will likely be sampling it in its peak state. Hope the pilot is careful and they sample the storm safely. Looks like it will be the strongest storm to be sampled since Wilma?

Megi.

[TheStormExpert]

Anxious to see the 11pm advisory and discussion, it will be interesting!

[1900hurricane]

[CrazyC83]

Anxious to see the 11pm advisory and discussion, it will be interesting!

I'd go with 150 kt at the advisory (pressure 918mb), and peak the intensity at 170 kt in 12 hours.

[Kingarabian]

Man. Cant. Get. Enough. Of. Satellite. Loops.

Recon will likely be sampling it in its peak state. Hope the pilot is careful and they sample the storm safely. Looks like it will be the strongest storm to be sampled since Wilma?

Megi.

Aah forgot about that special recon for a Western pacific storm.

[supercane4867]

No words...

[Ntxw]

Crazy to think what recon will find.

[northjaxpro]

WoW!!! I am just awestruck by Patricia. Simply put, an extremely impressive tropical cyclone!!! One for the ages for certain!!!

[Kingarabian]

You can tell how strong this system really is when it looks impressive on JSL.

[Andy_L]

What time (eastern time) is recon due back in the storm??

[Yellow Evan]

Going to point out a few things.

1. ADT value of 8.3 is higher than the 8.1 given to Haiyan. In the ADT era, the 8.3 is a record. However, ADT seems to have a low bias in the WPAC especially in the current version CMISS ADT (8.2.1)

2.This system qualifies as a T7.5 with a CDG ring and OW eye. I think the eye is likely warmer than suggested by ADT, since it is so small.

3.Worth pointing that in the past Dvorak has a low bias with 125+ knot systems.

[Yellow Evan]

What time (eastern time) is recon due back in the storm??

6z or 2 AM EDT.

[Yellow Evan]

Linda is probably scared now...although sub-900 is unlikely due to the pressure gradient.

Linda isn't scared -- I doubt it drops down that far. If it actually dropped to 902 mb with that gradient it would probably be 180 mph winds, which isn't impossible of course, but exceedingly rare even in the best of conditions.

I don't think Linda should be scared... but, if conditions remain favorable, 1959 might.

Don't see why this won't get to 150 knots at the rate we're going.

[Yellow Evan]

Linda was never close to landfall though, and I don't believe it was ever visited by Recon. In the EPAC, they only bring flights in for landfall threats (and continuous Recon is unheard of, maybe a California threat would do that).

Linda got Recon, but post-peak I think.

[Ntxw]

What time (eastern time) is recon due back in the storm??

6z or 2 AM EDT.

From the recon thread is on the way. As you mentioned should be in the storm in a few hours. Long night for us weather enthusiasts to see the ground truth.

Very bad for the coast of Mexico. Prayers to them.