EPAC: PATRICIA - Recon

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN15 KNHC 230600
AF303 0320E PATRICIA HDOB 39 20151023
055100 1602N 10456W 6971 03090 9989 +108 +108 216056 057 050 010 03
055130 1603N 10458W 6963 03093 9977 +100 +100 216053 055 048 009 00
055200 1604N 10459W 6967 03082 9972 +103 +103 215058 062 048 010 00
055230 1606N 10500W 6967 03077 9956 +103 +103 213060 060 050 008 00
055300 1607N 10502W 6968 03069 9970 +101 +101 210059 061 048 008 00
055330 1608N 10503W 6974 03055 9971 +105 +105 208063 064 048 012 00
055400 1610N 10504W 6964 03055 9947 +115 +115 218062 066 052 025 00
055430 1611N 10506W 6964 03056 9941 +121 +121 222063 066 058 025 03
055500 1612N 10507W 6970 03038 9934 +115 +115 214067 069 056 011 00
055530 1613N 10508W 6968 03033 9926 +110 +110 215071 073 057 010 00
055600 1615N 10510W 6964 03025 9913 +111 +111 214072 077 060 007 00
055630 1616N 10511W 6970 03002 9886 +109 +109 216079 081 063 010 00
055700 1617N 10512W 6956 03001 9870 +116 +116 213081 083 065 013 03
055730 1619N 10514W 6979 02951 9847 +117 +117 212089 092 074 010 00
055800 1620N 10515W 6963 02945 9798 +119 //// 211096 099 080 005 01
055830 1621N 10516W 6964 02906 //// +120 //// 213103 107 086 002 01
055900 1622N 10518W 6969 02835 //// +112 //// 214118 125 104 002 01
055930 1624N 10519W 6959 02743 9559 +116 //// 216143 152 122 011 05
060000 1625N 10520W 6971 02559 9369 +109 //// 221169 177 182 023 05
060030 1626N 10521W 6942 02339 9098 +138 //// 221140 180 /// /// 05
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Flight Level Wind (30 sec. Avg.): 169 knots (194.5 mph)
Peak (10 sec. Avg.) Flight Level Wind: 180 knots (207.1 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s Avg.) Sfc. Wind: 104 knots (SFMR did not include value where 180 knot wind was and 182 knots (209.4 mph) and 122 knots (140.4 mph) before that was suspect
Extrapolated Sfc. Pressure: 909.8 mb (and falling)

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Link to that HDOB:
http://hurricanecity.com/recon/recon.cg ... .8-169-104

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN15 KNHC 230610
AF303 0320E PATRICIA HDOB 40 20151023
060100 1626N 10522W 7028 02128 8916 +241 +130 218041 097 /// /// 03
060130 1628N 10524W 7105 02014 8893 +254 +096 277012 021 043 004 00
060200 1629N 10525W 7036 02086 8883 +249 +098 020027 046 054 002 03
060230 1630N 10527W 7043 02153 8952 +184 +134 037110 144 /// /// 05
060300 1631N 10528W 7022 02392 9285 +146 //// 040169 172 178 040 01
060330 1632N 10528W 7015 02547 9442 +129 //// 042157 166 173 038 05
060400 1632N 10529W 6995 02676 9555 +117 //// 046141 153 140 029 01
060430 1633N 10530W 6947 02822 //// +102 //// 049123 134 121 008 01
060500 1635N 10531W 6952 02887 9698 +121 +118 050104 119 105 003 00
060530 1636N 10533W 6969 02914 9764 +124 +123 050092 097 087 004 00
060600 1637N 10534W 6969 02945 9807 +123 //// 051086 089 077 011 01
060630 1638N 10535W 6973 02968 9831 +109 //// 052079 084 073 005 01
060700 1640N 10536W 6968 02993 9858 +109 //// 054074 078 068 005 01
060730 1641N 10538W 6972 03005 9894 +115 //// 053071 072 064 005 05
060800 1642N 10539W 6967 03021 9917 +113 +113 054069 071 056 013 03
060830 1643N 10540W 6970 03029 9924 +113 +113 055068 070 056 010 00
060900 1645N 10542W 6974 03035 9929 +104 //// 058065 069 051 007 01
060930 1646N 10543W 6969 03050 //// +107 //// 058061 064 048 005 01
061000 1647N 10544W 6970 03057 //// +107 //// 060058 060 045 001 01
061030 1649N 10546W 6971 03060 //// +107 //// 060057 058 045 001 01
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Flight Level Wind (30 sec. Avg.): 169 knots (194.5 mph)
Peak (10 sec. Avg.) Flight Level Wind: 172 knots (197.9 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s Avg.) Sfc. Wind: 178 knots (204.8 mph)
Extrapolated Sfc. Pressure: 888.3 mb

[Chris_in_Tampa]

UZPN13 KNHC 230610
XXAA 73067 99164 71053 04765 99939 26805 07618 00/// ///// /////
92135 25412 10677 85879 22821 14672 70554 13004 21657 88999 77999
31313 09608 80559
61616 AF303 0320E PATRICIA OB 15
62626 EYEWALL 135 AEV 07775 DLM WND 16137 938695 WL150 09662 083
REL 1640N10532W 055938 SPG 1655N10537W 060323 =
XXBB 73068 99164 71053 04765 00939 26805 11933 25404 22850 22821
33791 18607 44743 17827 55711 16011 66695 11600
21212 00939 07618 11938 07623 22937 08137 33935 08651 44928 10179
55924 10677 66919 11159 77913 12152 88880 13664 99870 13672 11850
14672 22718 21167 33695 22150
31313 09608 80559
61616 AF303 0320E PATRICIA OB 15
62626 EYEWALL 135 AEV 07775 DLM WND 16137 938695 WL150 09662 083
REL 1640N10532W 055938 SPG 1655N10537W 060323 =

[Chris_in_Tampa]

890mb, 40 knots of surface wind

UZPN13 KNHC 230614
XXAA 73068 99165 71054 04765 99890 27816 19540 00/// ///// /////
92/// ///// ///// 85413 25231 21535 88999 77999
31313 09608 80601
51515 10190 70123
61616 AF303 0320E PATRICIA OB 16
62626 CENTER MBL WND 21036 AEV 07775 DLM WND 23022 890711 WL150 2
0038 084 REL 1646N10540W 060125 SPG 1648N10539W 060420 =
XXBB 73068 99165 71054 04765 00890 27816 11850 25231 22815 23435
33782 26866 44716 24266 55711 25865
21212 00890 19540 11850 21535 22807 24525 33793 23525 44777 25520
55762 24511 66754 28011 77739 28016 88720 30512 99711 28009
31313 09608 80601
51515 10190 70123
61616 AF303 0320E PATRICIA OB 16
62626 CENTER MBL WND 21036 AEV 07775 DLM WND 23022 890711 WL150 2
0038 084 REL 1646N10540W 060125 SPG 1648N10539W 060420 =
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Link to 890mb sonde:
http://hurricanecity.com/recon/recon.cg ... -890-40-40

[Hurricaneman]

890mb, 40 knots of surface wind

UZPN13 KNHC 230614
XXAA 73068 99165 71054 04765 99890 27816 19540 00/// ///// /////
92/// ///// ///// 85413 25231 21535 88999 77999
31313 09608 80601
51515 10190 70123
61616 AF303 0320E PATRICIA OB 16
62626 CENTER MBL WND 21036 AEV 07775 DLM WND 23022 890711 WL150 2
0038 084 REL 1646N10540W 060125 SPG 1648N10539W 060420 =
XXBB 73068 99165 71054 04765 00890 27816 11850 25231 22815 23435
33782 26866 44716 24266 55711 25865
21212 00890 19540 11850 21535 22807 24525 33793 23525 44777 25520
55762 24511 66754 28011 77739 28016 88720 30512 99711 28009
31313 09608 80601
51515 10190 70123
61616 AF303 0320E PATRICIA OB 16
62626 CENTER MBL WND 21036 AEV 07775 DLM WND 23022 890711 WL150 2
0038 084 REL 1646N10540W 060125 SPG 1648N10539W 060420 =
;

probably extrapolates to 886

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN15 KNHC 230620
AF303 0320E PATRICIA HDOB 41 20151023
061100 1650N 10547W 6970 03068 9932 +111 +098 059053 056 042 003 00
061130 1651N 10548W 6967 03076 9936 +113 +094 059050 052 043 002 00
061200 1652N 10550W 6970 03076 9939 +114 +097 058049 050 045 001 00
061230 1654N 10551W 6974 03076 9942 +117 +083 057048 048 044 002 00
061300 1655N 10553W 6969 03086 9947 +114 +093 059046 047 042 002 00
061330 1656N 10554W 6972 03086 9953 +111 +095 060045 046 041 003 00
061400 1658N 10555W 6967 03093 9961 +109 +097 062046 047 042 001 00
061430 1659N 10557W 6972 03091 9964 +109 +097 063045 047 040 001 00
061500 1700N 10558W 6970 03096 9966 +109 +101 062044 045 039 002 00
061530 1702N 10559W 6970 03098 9967 +112 +098 062041 045 041 002 00
061600 1703N 10601W 6967 03104 9970 +111 +098 061041 042 040 002 00
061630 1704N 10602W 6970 03104 9973 +112 +096 060039 040 040 001 00
061700 1706N 10604W 6977 03099 9974 +116 +083 061038 038 041 001 00
061730 1707N 10605W 6967 03113 9974 +118 +081 060036 037 042 000 00
061800 1708N 10606W 6971 03109 9973 +120 +083 059035 036 041 001 00
061830 1710N 10608W 6968 03114 9976 +115 +085 059037 038 041 001 03
061900 1709N 10610W 6969 03116 9983 +115 +082 056037 038 /// /// 03
061930 1707N 10611W 6976 03105 9979 +117 +074 055038 038 043 001 00
062000 1706N 10612W 6968 03115 9979 +119 +069 050036 038 042 001 00
062030 1704N 10613W 6971 03110 9980 +117 +073 049034 035 044 000 00
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URPN12 KNHC 230621
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE EP202015
A. 23/06:01:50Z
B. 16 deg 28 min N
105 deg 25 min W
C. 700 mb 2134 m
D. 182 kt
E. 128 deg 6 nm
F. 221 deg 180 kt
G. 126 deg 5 nm
H. 890 mb
I. 12 C / 3077 m
J. 27 C / 2913 m
K. 10 C / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C7
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0 / 1 nm
P. AF303 0320E PATRICIA OB 14
MAX FL WIND 180 KT 126 / 5 NM 06:00:30Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 195 / 40 KT
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URPN12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 23rd day of the month at 6:21Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF97-5303
Storm Number & Year: 20 in 2015
Storm Name: Patricia (flight in the Northeast Pacific basin)
Mission Number: 3
Observation Number: 14
A. Time of Center Fix: 23rd day of the month at 6:01:50Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 16°28'N 105°25'W (16.4667N 105.4167W)
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,134m (7,001ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 182kts (~ 209.4mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 6 nautical miles (7 statute miles) to the SE (128°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 221° at 180kts (From the SW at ~ 207.1mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 5 nautical miles (6 statute miles) to the SE (126°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 890mb (26.28 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,077m (10,095ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 27°C (81°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,913m (9,557ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 10°C (50°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Closed
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 7 nautical miles
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile

Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 180kts (~ 207.1mph) which was observed 5 nautical miles to the SE (126°) from the flight level center at 6:00:30Z
Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 195° at 40kts (From the SSW at 46mph)

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN15 KNHC 230630
AF303 0320E PATRICIA HDOB 42 20151023
062100 1702N 10614W 6969 03115 9983 +115 +073 048036 037 042 001 00
062130 1700N 10615W 6975 03110 9984 +116 +075 045034 036 041 001 00
062200 1658N 10616W 6968 03120 9987 +113 +091 037036 038 041 001 00
062230 1657N 10617W 6970 03120 9994 +109 +097 035036 037 042 001 00
062300 1655N 10619W 6964 03126 9994 +106 +099 028036 037 040 002 00
062330 1653N 10620W 6969 03121 9994 +104 +101 024037 038 039 002 01
062400 1651N 10621W 6966 03123 //// +098 //// 024036 037 038 004 01
062430 1650N 10622W 6969 03119 //// +100 //// 025037 038 038 000 01
062500 1648N 10623W 6968 03121 0000 +102 +092 022037 038 038 001 00
062530 1646N 10624W 6969 03120 0004 +100 +087 020039 040 038 000 00
062600 1644N 10626W 6970 03119 0006 +098 +090 014037 039 039 001 01
062630 1642N 10627W 6963 03130 0023 +101 //// 014036 040 040 009 01
062700 1641N 10628W 6965 03128 0010 +097 +097 009038 040 038 005 01
062730 1639N 10629W 6970 03122 0007 +099 +094 008041 042 035 002 03
062800 1637N 10630W 6961 03134 0003 +103 +093 006040 041 035 002 03
062830 1636N 10628W 6969 03121 0008 +094 +094 005039 040 030 002 01
062900 1636N 10627W 6971 03117 0006 +099 +094 007036 038 032 001 00
062930 1636N 10625W 6965 03122 0000 +099 +092 006037 037 034 003 00
063000 1636N 10623W 6970 03111 //// +099 //// 009036 037 037 000 01
063030 1636N 10621W 6969 03114 9992 +101 +100 009038 038 037 000 01
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Going back to center:

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN15 KNHC 230640
AF303 0320E PATRICIA HDOB 43 20151023
063100 1636N 10619W 6969 03112 9991 +100 +099 008038 038 033 001 01
063130 1636N 10618W 6965 03115 //// +096 //// 005038 038 036 001 01
063200 1636N 10616W 6969 03109 9992 +098 +094 008037 039 035 002 00
063230 1636N 10614W 6967 03109 9988 +100 +092 007037 037 036 001 00
063300 1636N 10612W 6963 03110 9987 +099 +092 006036 037 036 000 00
063330 1636N 10610W 6966 03104 9978 +104 +090 003036 037 035 001 00
063400 1636N 10608W 6970 03098 9970 +109 +090 360036 037 039 001 00
063430 1636N 10607W 6963 03100 9965 +108 +090 355032 034 041 001 00
063500 1636N 10605W 6968 03091 9960 +107 +100 357033 034 041 003 00
063530 1636N 10603W 6967 03089 9956 +110 +101 359034 034 042 002 00
063600 1636N 10601W 6969 03085 9951 +110 +099 000035 036 043 002 00
063630 1636N 10559W 6963 03085 9943 +112 +096 000038 040 042 003 00
063700 1635N 10557W 6972 03070 9932 +117 +094 003039 041 041 003 00
063730 1635N 10555W 6966 03074 9924 +121 +089 009043 044 043 002 00
063800 1635N 10554W 6963 03070 9917 +111 +100 011047 048 043 004 01
063830 1635N 10552W 6963 03061 9911 +110 +109 014051 052 046 002 01
063900 1635N 10550W 6969 03047 9901 +117 +096 012053 054 049 003 00
063930 1635N 10548W 6967 03042 9884 +124 +087 013056 057 051 004 00
064000 1634N 10547W 6968 03031 9879 +118 +109 011058 059 054 005 00
064030 1634N 10545W 6961 03027 9871 +114 +112 007062 065 058 005 00
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Earlier, first pass, from NE to SW: