Texas Fall-2015
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
TXDOT reporting water over 145 in Corsicana, highway closed both direction. The roads are so bad there according to what I read, they can't close them fast enough so they are telling people to stay home unless they are fleeing flooding.
I35 north of Waco is also shut down because of water over the road at West.
I35 north of Waco is also shut down because of water over the road at West.
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- Rgv20
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I wonder how many messages they have gotten about Patricia to start a discussion like this lol
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
311 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...NO WE
ARE _NOT_ GETTING A HURRICANE IN THE VALLEY DURING THE NEXT 36
HOURS. HURRICANE PATRICIA WILL BE MAKING LANDFALL DURING THE NEXT
12 HOURS ACROSS THE CENTRAL WEST COAST OF MEXICO...AND WILL
PROMPTLY BE SHREDDED APART BY THE VAST MOUNTAIN RANGES IN CENTRAL
MEXICO. SOUTH TEXAS _WILL_ SEE A FEW OF THE AFTER EFFECTS OF THE
STORM...NAMELY THE EXTREME AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE POURING IN ALOFT.
LLVL MOISTURE IS ALREADY IN PLACE VALLEYWIDE...WITH MORNING PW
VALUES ALREADY AT 2.5 INCHES.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
311 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...NO WE
ARE _NOT_ GETTING A HURRICANE IN THE VALLEY DURING THE NEXT 36
HOURS. HURRICANE PATRICIA WILL BE MAKING LANDFALL DURING THE NEXT
12 HOURS ACROSS THE CENTRAL WEST COAST OF MEXICO...AND WILL
PROMPTLY BE SHREDDED APART BY THE VAST MOUNTAIN RANGES IN CENTRAL
MEXICO. SOUTH TEXAS _WILL_ SEE A FEW OF THE AFTER EFFECTS OF THE
STORM...NAMELY THE EXTREME AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE POURING IN ALOFT.
LLVL MOISTURE IS ALREADY IN PLACE VALLEYWIDE...WITH MORNING PW
VALUES ALREADY AT 2.5 INCHES.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Fall-2015
0.71 fell so far here at my house.
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Resident Rain Miser
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
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Re: Texas Fall-2015
US National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas
5 mins ·
Campbell Field-Corsicana Municipal Airport has recorded 13.25 inches of rain today (as of 630 PM).

5 mins ·
Campbell Field-Corsicana Municipal Airport has recorded 13.25 inches of rain today (as of 630 PM).

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#neversummer
- TheProfessor
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I just got back from a forecasting workshop, Dr. Ariel Cohen of Storm Prediction Center was there as well as some employees from the Wilmington Ohio NWS office. I learned a lot of neat stuff, like why the government weather offices will sometimes go conservative in the mid to long range because the potential disaster has a low probability or when forecasting a potential bad event where a couple of small variables that can't be seen even in short term models sometimes can make a forecast bust. I.E Dr. Ariel Cohen's decision to put a moderate risk on 4/29/2014.
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An alumnus of The Ohio State University.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
A lot of rain out there in the northeastern third of the state DFW is nearing 5". The southern half will see their fair share this weekend, if it's not raining hard now, it will. You folks in SE Texas better be ready. Patricia has been en-trained and her slug of moisture will be felt first in south-central and central Texas sometime tomorrow through Sunday.
Next weekend (Halloween) looks potentially like another multi inch rain event. As the period draws closer, the rainfall totals have crawled up.
Next weekend (Halloween) looks potentially like another multi inch rain event. As the period draws closer, the rainfall totals have crawled up.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- TeamPlayersBlue
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Just looked at the models. Looks like next week will be fun for sure. Ready for the rain and wind here in SE Tx. We will basically be shut in the house after tomorrow afternoon till monday. Basically expecting about 10" here. I will be giving you guys reports are the day goes on.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- 1900hurricane
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That training band is going to get really bad overnight.
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Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
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Re: Texas Fall-2015
Those high end totals around DFW don't look so unrealistic now... Pouring here again
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Fall-2015
The rain just changed over to heavy snow in the Texarkana area. I already have a couple inches on the ground, expecting close to a foot by morning.
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Re: Texas Fall-2015
DFW airport needs about 1" of rain to get into top 10 wettest Octobers. After being on pace for top 10 driest through 20 days. Top 5 would be about 8.2" total
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall-2015
Ntxw wrote:DFW airport needs about 1" of rain to get into top 10 wettest Octobers. After being on pace for top 10 driest through 20 days. Top 5 would be about 8.2" total
Crazy to see driest to wettest October.

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Re: Texas Fall-2015
aggiecutter wrote:The rain just changed over to heavy snow in the Texarkana area. I already have a couple inches on the ground, expecting close to a foot by morning.
Give it a month and i will believe you.
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Re: Texas Fall-2015
Looks like another big slow moving rain event is possible next Friday into Halloween btw... still October...
Last edited by Brent on Sat Oct 24, 2015 12:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
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