BOB: INVEST 93B
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cycloneye
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BOB: INVEST 93B
93B INVEST 151024 1200 6.9N 83.0E IO 20 1005
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cycloneye
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Re: BOB: INVEST 93B
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.9N 83.0E,
APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FORMATIVE BANDING. A 240824Z NOAA-19
89GHZ IMAGE SHOWS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FLARING OVER THE
LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH AN
ANTICYCLONE POSITIONED OVER THE LLCC AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
HOWEVER, LAND INTERACTION SHOULD HINDER SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 DAYS UNLESS THE SYSTEM TRACKS POLEWARD OFF THE
EAST COAST OF SRI LANKA AS SOME MODELS SUGGEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FORMATIVE BANDING. A 240824Z NOAA-19
89GHZ IMAGE SHOWS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FLARING OVER THE
LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH AN
ANTICYCLONE POSITIONED OVER THE LLCC AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
HOWEVER, LAND INTERACTION SHOULD HINDER SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 DAYS UNLESS THE SYSTEM TRACKS POLEWARD OFF THE
EAST COAST OF SRI LANKA AS SOME MODELS SUGGEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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mrbagyo
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Re: BOB: INVEST 93B
So, this is the eastern half of the NOI twin suggested by ECMWF and GFS. Atm, this looks healthier than the disturbance located west of Maldives.
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