JDawg512 wrote:weatherdude1108 wrote:JDawg512 wrote:We always set up a big Halloween display and have family and friends over so hopefully it will be dry enough for me to get everything ready.
On a side note. The overnight discussion from EWX is worded strangly. New met possibly or maybe someone who doesn't normally write it up?..
I noticed it seemed a little more technical like I was in a meteorology class, or he was showing off with technical jargon, along with proper English, which isn't necessarily a bad thing.
A few paragraphs stood out. Maybe he is new and is trying to impress.
I don't know.
Not sure it was necessarily over-the-top, but it was also not as smooth a read as past discussions have been IMO.
THIS AMOUNT OF FLOW SHOULD ALLOW FOR
SHOWERS AND PERHAPS SOME THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM IN A WARM AIR
ADVECTION REGIME. IN ADDITION TO THE LOW-LEVEL LIFT...SOUTH TEXAS
WILL BE UNDERNEATH THE THE RIGHT-ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER
LEVEL JET FAVORING ADDITIONAL UPWARD FORCING FOR CONVECTION.
THE UPPER JET WILL ALSO
BE IN A SIMILAR LOCATION...BUT WITH A TIGHTER SPEED GRADIENT
LEADING INTO THE RIGHT ENTRANCE WHICH WILL SUPPORT DEEP VERTICAL
MOTIONS.
FOR THE FRIDAY PERIOD...AM
EXPECTING CONVECTION TO BE MORE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AND PERHAPS
ELEVATED WITHOUT THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL BOUNDARY TO PROVIDE
A SURFACE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION.
THE MEAGER INSTABILITY SHOULD OVERALL LIMIT
SEVERE CHANCES...BUT LOW LEVEL KINEMATIC FIELDS SUPPORT THE CHANCE
FOR SOME ROTATING THUNDERSTORMS AND CANT RULE OUT A SEVERE STORM
IN A QLCS OR MULTICELLULAR STORM MODE.
ALSO...THERE WILL BE 7 LONGWAVE TROUGHS ROTATING AROUND
THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE AND THIS NUMBER SUPPORTS A PROGRESSIVE
SOLUTION.
That's what I meant but should have been a little more specific. I don't mind the technical talk but is a little different from the last several write ups. Also your right about it not being a smooth read. Seemed to jump around a bit.
I thought it was interesting that he mentioned the 7 longwave troughs rotating around the N Hemisphere. Usually don't see an actual count. Thought that was an extra tidbit that he just threw in there for the heck of pointing out that these storms will be moving fairly quickly.
Yeah, I didn't know there was a correlation of the number of troughs and the progressivity of the systems. I am assuming that if there are 7, that means one trough a week, which means, by definition it is progressive? Can there be 7 non-progressive, stalling troughs? I guess that would be difficult given the rotation of the Earth(?). He didn't explain that clearly.
I know there can be stagnant, non-progressive ridges in Texas.
But then again, those ridges eventually do progress with the Earth's orbit around the Sun.
This is where we need some promet interjection.
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Widespread 40s for lows, some 30s appear around the Arklatex region.
