Prepare For Juan Next Week

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abajan
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Prepare For Juan Next Week

#1 Postby abajan » Sat Sep 20, 2003 8:31 pm

It's pretty clear that the tropics are getting ready to birth another system soon. The only question is where. Right now, I'm betting on that blob around 53W.
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Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Sep 20, 2003 8:32 pm

Could be.. we shall see. Juan should be coming in the next few days...
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#3 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Sep 20, 2003 8:39 pm

Only time will tell.
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#4 Postby summerwx » Sat Sep 20, 2003 8:43 pm

I wonder if it will be a category 5 like Isabel and Fabian both were?
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Derek Ortt

#5 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Sep 20, 2003 8:43 pm

CMC is going with something, but for now all eyes should be on Marty as this should be another landfalling hurricane, possibly a major hurricane as indicated by GFDL
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#6 Postby summerwx » Sat Sep 20, 2003 8:48 pm

Marty? Did we already skip over Juan, Katrina, and Larry while everyone was watchnig Isabel?
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#7 Postby abajan » Sat Sep 20, 2003 8:58 pm

summerwx wrote:I wonder if it will be a category 5 like Isabel and Fabian both were?


Of course you know that Fabian (powerful as it was) did not reach Cat5 status.
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#8 Postby CocoaBill » Sat Sep 20, 2003 8:58 pm

Marty is a current Pacific storm. The Pacific season is already on the M storm.
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#9 Postby Lindaloo » Sat Sep 20, 2003 9:00 pm

summerwx wrote:Marty? Did we already skip over Juan, Katrina, and Larry while everyone was watchnig Isabel?


Pay attention. Marty is a Pacific storm and could make landfall on the west coast. :roll:
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#10 Postby abajan » Sat Sep 20, 2003 9:01 pm

Lindaloo wrote:
summerwx wrote:Marty? Did we already skip over Juan, Katrina, and Larry while everyone was watchnig Isabel?


Pay attention. Marty is a Pacific storm and could make landfall on the west coast. :roll:


I think he was just kiddin' :roll:
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#11 Postby btangy » Sat Sep 20, 2003 9:11 pm

Pay attention. Marty is a Pacific storm and could make landfall on the west coast.


Maybe west coast of Baja, but not the US west coast. Definitely be very rare for a landfalling tropical cyclone on the west coast considerring SSTs are in the upper 60s in San Diego and mid 60s in LA. Very stable air (look at all the stratocumulus clouds off the coast) would wipe out pretty much any convection in a tropical cyclone in a big hurry (just look at how fast Hurricane Linda fell apart a few days ago)
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ColdFront77

#12 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Sep 20, 2003 11:17 pm

Marty is the "M" named storm in the EPAC (eastern Pacific), not the entire Pacific Basin.
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#13 Postby AussieMark » Sun Sep 21, 2003 8:04 am

Yes the Eastern Pacific is up to the M storm but this is one of the most un-active seasons in the Eastern Pacific for a while.

Still not Majors
Only 2 Hurricanes

1981 - the year when no majors last formed.
1989 - the most recent year which took the longest for the first major to form.
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