WPBWeather wrote:Happy to. This summarizes many of the critics. One can go to the MIT Weather guy's site to drill down to the details.
All I am saying is that Klotzbach did NOT do any study with this report. Only pure speculation.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/s ... s-disagree
I don't see any ground breaking criticism of his paper, or any evidence that anyone is doing anything but making educated guesses. I'm not debating either side, but I don't see any reason to criticize Klotzbach for putting out a hypothesis and then waiting, like everyone else, to see if it's correct.
“I think they’re pretty much wrong about this,” said MIT meteorology professor Kerry Emanuel, who also specialises in hurricane research. “That paper is not backed by a lot of evidence.”
Emanuel does not believe in the cycle cited by the researchers or the connection to ocean temperature and salinity. He thinks the quiet period of hurricanes of the 1970s and 1980s was connected to sulphur pollution and the busy period that followed was a result of the cleaning of the air.
Jim Kossin of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said cooler water temperatures earlier this year might be due to Atlantic dust, and August temperatures in the area have risen.
Another NOAA scientist, Gabriel Vecchi, said while there seemed to be signs of a change in the circulation of the Atlantic, it was far too early to say that the shift had happened.
“So what happens in the next few years is going to be very exciting to watch as it may help settle or at least refine some intense scientific debates,” Vecchi said.
Maybe there is no cycle.

Regardless, media love to present scientific hypothesis as arguments and doubts as criticism. I love the URL
atlantic-hurricanes-getting-weaker-scientists-disagree
Did he say they were getting weaker?
You can access the paper in nature by using the link at the end of the WP article. It passes an access key that should allow full viewing.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/09/11/the-active-hurricane-era-that-brought-us-katrina-and-sandy-may-be-over/