Texas Winter 2015-2016

[SouthernMet]

Latest HRRR showing 2-3" for tarrant county and dusting - half inch for dallas.

Honestly, may be underdoing it.

[TheProfessor]

I would enjoy the 2 inches of snow that the HRRR has on the Denton county line.

[Brent]

Is this really realistic? My expectations for this have dropped to basically nothing at this point

[Ntxw]

Is this really realistic? My expectations for this have dropped to basically nothing at this point

We're grasping at straws keeping hopes alive! As long as the low continues to plow east the dream is still a possibility. We're not greedy people, a dusting works. Heck just to even see it fall is enough. DFW needs the guaranty that there has never been a snowless winter (at least Trace) since records began here.


In other news, this storm has been a complete bust for Kansas. After blizzard warnings, hardly a flake fell up there. Leading the way to the failed forecast around Dodge City after spewing out a foot + there, the ECMWF

[TexasF6]

I can report rain mixed with big snowflakes, NW Austin, Jollyville. Took Raven of Thunderheart, my truck, out for gas run. Let's hope for more!!!

[JayDT]

Are the short term models the best models to be looking at at this point?

[Ntxw]

I can report rain mixed with big snowflakes, NW Austin, Jollyville. Took Raven of Thunderheart, my truck, out for gas run. Let's hope for more!!!

Wake up Porta!!! Champ the Charger needs a Chase!

[TexasF6]

I think the NAM is seeing that low wobble over Austin and leave us some treats!!! Flakes made me happy. I'm thirsty for more!!! I disliked the rain mixing in

[Wntrwthrguy]

The snow out in Junction to San Angelo, is that going to be moving To the NE of Austin or is there a chance that moves east into the I-35 corridor near Austin?

[Jarodm12]

I can report rain mixed with big snowflakes, NW Austin, Jollyville. Took Raven of Thunderheart, my truck, out for gas run. Let's hope for more!!!

Wake up Porta!!! Champ the Charger needs a Chase!

I don't understand how the temperature of jollyville is 39f with snow falling how does that work? does that give credibility to what the models are saying in terms of a change over for DFW?

[TexasF6]

I can report rain mixed with big snowflakes, NW Austin, Jollyville. Took Raven of Thunderheart, my truck, out for gas run. Let's hope for more!!!

Wake up Porta!!! Champ the Charger needs a Chase!

I don't understand how the temperature of jollyville is 39f with snow falling how does that work? does that give credibility to what the models are saying in terms of a change over for DFW?

Its actually 37 here. It was mixed with rain. But nice flakes. I have been watching it alllllll evening on kxan's radar. I have screenshots. LOL.

[TheProfessor]

The upper air aloft might be much colder there than in the Metroplex.

[Ntxw]

I don't understand how the temperature of jollyville is 39f with snow falling how does that work? does that give credibility to what the models are saying in terms of a change over for DFW?

It is colder above their heads as the cold core ULL is approaching. Remember for snow it is more important what happens above your head vs on the ground. 32F just helps it stick it could be vice versa and rain. You can see the bulging 0C (32F) from about 5 thousand feet layer in central Texas associated near the center of the 500mb low.

[Shoshana]

I can report rain mixed with big snowflakes, NW Austin, Jollyville. Took Raven of Thunderheart, my truck, out for gas run. Let's hope for more!!!

Oh...... I hope we see it here too! Nothing at all right now

[Ntxw]

:uarrow:

The snow out in Junction to San Angelo, is that going to be moving To the NE of Austin or is there a chance that moves east into the I-35 corridor near Austin?

If the low continues eastward it could, however the models indicate this is around the time the low starts moving NE. If that does then that area will move NE with it, dreaded dry slot comes in.

[Jarodm12]

NTXW what radar/ web address are you using?

[Ntxw]

NTXW what radar/ web address are you using?

Intellicast

http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true

[SouthernMet]

FWIW

[TheProfessor]

So ideally for the metroplex we would want an eastward motion for a while longer then a Ne turn to avoid being dry slotted?

[Ntxw]

Any posters from Weatherford or Decatur/Bridgeport? Radar switching to pink/blue in those areas