Texas Winter 2015-2016

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hriverajr
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2541 Postby hriverajr » Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:01 pm

Position of that surface high in that snapshot would NOT support enough cold air for Snow in central Texas. Of course I am not looking at 500 mb.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2542 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:16 pm

hriverajr wrote:Position of that surface high in that snapshot would NOT support enough cold air for Snow in central Texas. Of course I am not looking at 500 mb.


GFS has a 500mb low over Wichita Falls at that time. The only problem with snow is that it only occurs in cold weather. Snow in July would be fine, when the temps are in the mid 90s...
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2543 Postby Snowman67 » Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:30 pm

wxman57 wrote:
hriverajr wrote:Position of that surface high in that snapshot would NOT support enough cold air for Snow in central Texas. Of course I am not looking at 500 mb.


GFS has a 500mb low over Wichita Falls at that time. The only problem with snow is that it only occurs in cold weather. Snow in July would be fine, when the temps are in the mid 90s...


Will the real Wxman57 please stand up :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2544 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:40 pm

Snowman67 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
hriverajr wrote:Position of that surface high in that snapshot would NOT support enough cold air for Snow in central Texas. Of course I am not looking at 500 mb.


GFS has a 500mb low over Wichita Falls at that time. The only problem with snow is that it only occurs in cold weather. Snow in July would be fine, when the temps are in the mid 90s...


Will the real Wxman57 please stand up :wink:


:lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2545 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:50 pm

So tired of living in Fantasyland. :roll:

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2546 Postby Brent » Fri Jan 22, 2016 3:35 pm

wxman57 wrote:
hriverajr wrote:Position of that surface high in that snapshot would NOT support enough cold air for Snow in central Texas. Of course I am not looking at 500 mb.


GFS has a 500mb low over Wichita Falls at that time. The only problem with snow is that it only occurs in cold weather. Snow in July would be fine, when the temps are in the mid 90s...


:roflmao:
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2547 Postby Tireman4 » Fri Jan 22, 2016 4:17 pm

Snowman67 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
hriverajr wrote:Position of that surface high in that snapshot would NOT support enough cold air for Snow in central Texas. Of course I am not looking at 500 mb.


GFS has a 500mb low over Wichita Falls at that time. The only problem with snow is that it only occurs in cold weather. Snow in July would be fine, when the temps are in the mid 90s...


Will the real Wxman57 please stand up :wink:


On no, not this again. What in the world? What happened, did the East Coast Snowapocolypse get you? grooannn
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2548 Postby dhweather » Fri Jan 22, 2016 4:40 pm

weatherdude1108 wrote:So tired of living in Fantasyland. :roll:

Image



It's only two weeks out! :cheesy:


Model guidance has been terrible so far this year. El Nino has returned to Faux Nino, and it might not rain significantly until February. :cry:
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2549 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jan 22, 2016 5:00 pm

Tireman4 wrote:
On no, not this again. What in the world? What happened, did the East Coast Snowapocolypse get you? grooannn


I love snow but I hate the cold. We still have a shot at snow here in Houston, but there needs to be some colder air moving out of Canada for that to happen.

My main hope for the East Coast storm is that it covers Jim Cantore up completely.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2550 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri Jan 22, 2016 5:20 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Tireman4 wrote:
On no, not this again. What in the world? What happened, did the East Coast Snowapocolypse get you? grooannn


I love snow but I hate the cold. We still have a shot at snow here in Houston, but there needs to be some colder air moving out of Canada for that to happen.

My main hope for the East Coast storm is that it covers Jim Cantore up completely.


:roflmao:
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2551 Postby Ralph's Weather » Fri Jan 22, 2016 5:49 pm

Euro and GFS agree that after a benign end of Jan Feb will start with an Arctic outbreak. Canadian has zonal flow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2552 Postby Brent » Fri Jan 22, 2016 7:11 pm

wxman57 wrote:My main hope for the East Coast storm is that it covers Jim Cantore up completely.


:lol: Man I really like this version of wxman57. Can we keep him?
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2553 Postby Tireman4 » Fri Jan 22, 2016 7:26 pm

Brent wrote:
wxman57 wrote:My main hope for the East Coast storm is that it covers Jim Cantore up completely.


:lol: Man I really like this version of wxman57. Can we keep him?



I know what is next. 80's in February. Dogs sleeping with Cats. Pluto becomes a planet. This Summer will be like 2011. No good can come from this..ugh...I think I am going to cry. I will admit the Cantore comment was funny
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2554 Postby Tireman4 » Fri Jan 22, 2016 8:04 pm

Here. This will soothe my soul...for a little bit..

https://www.facebook.com/HellerWeather/ ... 2/?theater

Valentine Day Snow in Houston in 1960...
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2555 Postby Brent » Fri Jan 22, 2016 8:52 pm

Well guys... it's officially snowed in Florida before it snows for most of us... :roll:
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2556 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 22, 2016 9:38 pm

Hopefully this outlined pattern will come to fruition to begin February as January comes to a close. As mentioned the main risk is before the storm comes out it will really pump up some heat. But that's a risk we will take for a good bowling ball and some -EPO. We'd take a December storm with February climo.

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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2557 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 22, 2016 9:41 pm

Ntxw wrote:Hopefully this outlined pattern will come to fruition to begin February as January comes to a close. As mentioned the main risk is before the storm comes out it will really pump up some heat. But that's a risk we will take for a good bowling ball and some -EPO. We'd take a December storm with February climo.

http://i64.tinypic.com/15zscjq.png


At the very least with the SW trough we can split the jet and crank up the East Pacific moisture.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2558 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jan 23, 2016 9:32 am

Signal for a big storm/blizzard to effect the southern Rockies out to the southern plains is growing stronger to bring in February. Right now the models keep the snow up in the central plains, but as with many systems before it eventually they will shift to kicking out of west Texas
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2559 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sat Jan 23, 2016 9:36 am

Well, at least the skiing will be good in March!

Looking at the radar in the VA area right now as a weather geek is actually quite fascinating right now. The dynamics of this storm look amazing right now. Seeing the bands of convergence come on shore is pretty cool.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#2560 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jan 23, 2016 9:45 am

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Well, at least the skiing will be good in March!

Looking at the radar in the VA area right now as a weather geek is actually quite fascinating right now. The dynamics of this storm look amazing right now. Seeing the bands of convergence come on shore is pretty cool.


Makes you wonder what Houston radar would've looked like in 1895. Probably that kind of banding coming onshore from the Gulf moving N and NW due to a slowed ULL in waves
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