Texas Winter 2015-2016
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
Just to add insult to injury, a lot of spring and summer birds are starting to show up here around the red river, including hummingbirds. Not a good sign at all for any winter weather or cold.
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
Where's that Winter Cancel button.......

Oh, that was easy.
Hope is fading, the days are getting longer, the angle of the sun is increasing, the window of opportunity will close soon. That said, let me remind you of last year, bust, bust, bust, bust, oh look, 4" of snow!
Oh, that was easy.

Hope is fading, the days are getting longer, the angle of the sun is increasing, the window of opportunity will close soon. That said, let me remind you of last year, bust, bust, bust, bust, oh look, 4" of snow!
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The above post and any post by dhweather is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
We have a long way to go in North Texas before Winter is over.... Keep the faith fair weather fan's 

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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
dhweather wrote:Where's that Winter Cancel button.......
Oh, that was easy.![]()
Hope is fading, the days are getting longer, the angle of the sun is increasing, the window of opportunity will close soon. That said, let me remind you of last year, bust, bust, bust, bust, oh look, 4" of snow!
I'm glad I don't have to remind you...you posted the exact same thing last year at this time. Did u learn a lesson or does your pessimistic attitude usually take over ?
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- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
The high over California and the blocking high near the pole need to merge into one big high for the cold to really comedown. The air is modified by pacific air. I no better than to ask why the highs arent bigger in cases like these after all that you guys have taught me, the air orgin is not in the arctic. The 00z from saturday is an example of how they are different. Still have some time if this is going to play out. Need them to link up.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
00Z Euro has a raging snowstorm across the Hill Country on Saturday morning. Below is a total accumulated snowfall graphic for the storm. Stay safe out there this weekend!


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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
wxman57 wrote:00Z Euro has a raging snowstorm across the Hill Country on Saturday morning. Below is a total accumulated snowfall graphic for the storm. Stay safe out there this weekend!
http://oi64.tinypic.com/290r7ew.jpg
Local Home Depot is already sold out of snow removal equipment!
Meanwhile, the lead met at the Portastorm Weather Center saw his six o'clock shadow in the mirror, so there will be an early spring in scenic southwest Travis County.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
I did get my afternoon of snow. Even though the ground was too warm for it to stick.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
Joe Bastardi seems to have put up the white flag. I've never seen him so deflated in Feb. This big El Nino has taken a big toll on him
The Groundhog did not see his shadow, which means early spring
The Groundhog did not see his shadow, which means early spring
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
wxman57 wrote:00Z Euro has a raging snowstorm across the Hill Country on Saturday morning. Below is a total accumulated snowfall graphic for the storm. Stay safe out there this weekend!
http://oi64.tinypic.com/290r7ew.jpg
I just spit my coffee all over my desk... Great way to start out the day!
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
Maybe we will get lucky and have a surprise winter event or two in late Feb or early March like we had last year. If I remember right the first part of February was pretty warm last year as well.
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- CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
I'm as much of a Winter rah rah fan as anyone, but this Super El Nino has pretty much shut the door on any kind of winter across the mid south. Other than the big snow storm to the hit the east coast, this winter was been pretty much calm. No major Ice storms, your basic winter weather across the great lakes reign but really nothing to write home over. Even the west coast hasn't had as much rain as it was predicted in all the Winter season outlooks. The fact that this is a 50 to 100 year event and the lack of solid data from prior Super events pretty much left us going off the next closest El Ninos, and those have pretty much been wrong. Models out past 3-4 days have busted more times than not, and even when we get with in the 2-3 day range things seem to fall flat.
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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
CaptinCrunch wrote:I'm as much of a Winter rah rah fan as anyone, but this Super El Nino has pretty much shut the door on any kind of winter across the mid south. Other than the big snow storm to the hit the east coast, this winter was been pretty much calm. No major Ice storms, your basic winter weather across the great lakes reign but really nothing to write home over. Even the west coast hasn't had as much rain as it was predicted in all the Winter season outlooks. The fact that this is a 50 to 100 year event and the lack of solid data from prior Super events pretty much left us going off the next closest El Ninos, and those have pretty much been wrong. Models out past 3-4 days have busted more times than not, and even when we get with in the 2-3 day range things seem to fall flat.
Excellent summation of what has happened over the last few months. The excessive rainfall events in south central Texas really shut off after Halloween. We had several opportunities at rain since then but nothing like earlier in 2015. Outside of that and the holiday tornadoes in the DFW area ... and maybe that one winter storm around Thanksgiving in west Texas ... this "winter" has been pathetic.
Those of us in the Austin area are used to pathetic winters so this season doesn't really seem all that unusual. It may be tougher on you North Texas folks. Last year was worse for us as y'all had several events and all we got was a tenth of an inch of freezing drizzle here and there and one predicted snow event which failed in an epic-like manner.
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- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
wxman57 wrote:00Z Euro has a raging snowstorm across the Hill Country on Saturday morning. Below is a total accumulated snowfall graphic for the storm. Stay safe out there this weekend!
I'll be in Leakey for the weekend. BRING IT.
Last edited by TeamPlayersBlue on Tue Feb 02, 2016 10:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
Last year the El Nino was very weak so by Feb essentially it was already down to neutral readings or El Nada. This year it's Feb and it's still raging with weekly readings of 2.5C! Most Nino's can only dream of that value even in peak of Oct-Nov no less Feb. That's not very rapid at all, majority of El Nino's see a rapid decline from January to Feb. But yeah around this time last year wxman57 was boasting of 70s for mid Feb which did happen and the pattern flipped after the 20th. Does not mean it will happen this year, but doesn't mean it won't either.
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- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:wxman57 wrote:00Z Euro has a raging snowstorm across the Hill Country on Saturday morning. Below is a total accumulated snowfall graphic for the storm. Stay safe out there this weekend!
I'll be in Leakey for the weekend. BRING IT.
Just saw MJO poking its head out in the 4 region. Not good. Not good at all. Dont normally, or ever do this but i might be circling that winter cancel bandwagon if thats the case.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
I've been looking over the latest updates for the system coming in Friday night/Sat. Given the overall lack of confidence in forecasts beyond 3 days. What are the thoughts on the rainfall potential? It's starting to look a little better but I'm not getting my hopes up.
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I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016
JDawg512 wrote:I've been looking over the latest updates for the system coming in Friday night/Sat. Given the overall lack of confidence in forecasts beyond 3 days. What are the thoughts on the rainfall potential? It's starting to look a little better but I'm not getting my hopes up.
Seems like the trend is on an upswing in terms of rainfall potential. At least that is what I am seeing/reading.
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