Interesting NWS discussion for GOM this week

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Rainband

Interesting NWS discussion for GOM this week

#1 Postby Rainband » Sun Sep 21, 2003 4:16 pm

EXTENDED (WED-SUN)...INTERESTING SCENARIO SETTING UP FOR MID TO
LATE WEEK. MODELS CONTINUE ABUNDANT MOISTURE OVER THE AREA AS
SHORTWAVE ENERGY REMAINS OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND SFC LOW TRIES TO
FORM ON STALLED FRONT OVER THE PENINSULA WED/THU. EVEN A WEAKER
VERSION OF THIS SOLUTION WOULD PRODUCE PERIODS OF RAIN FOR THE
AREA...SO WILL KEEP 50-60 POPS THRU FRI FOR NOW. MAY NEED TO THINK
ABOUT FLOOD WATCH LATER THIS WEEK AS GROUND REMAINS SATURATED AND
RIVERS SWOLLEN. CLOUD COVER TO HOLD DAYTIME TEMPS NEAR CLIMO. NEXT
WEEKEND CLIMO POPS AND TEMPS.

.MARINE...
ANOTHER NIGHT OF MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A
"SURGE" IN SPEEDS WITH THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE UP TO AROUND 15
KTS. LIGHTER WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR NOW AS WINDS
GENERALLY VEER TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION TUES-FRI. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR POTENTIAL FOR SFC LOW DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE STALLED FRONT
BY MID WEEK.

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 075/090 076/088 342
FMY 074/091 075/090 342
GIF 073/091 074/090 232
SRQ 075/088 075/087 342
BKV 072/091 073/086 342=

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

MORALES/DAVIS
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ColdFront77

#2 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Sep 21, 2003 4:20 pm

Something for central Floridians to look forward to.

How many days would have to pass for flooding not to be a problem?
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Tue Sep 23, 2003 2:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Rainband

#3 Postby Rainband » Sun Sep 21, 2003 4:37 pm

ColdFront77 wrote:Something to look forward to for central Floridians.

How many days would have to pass for flooding not to be a problem?
365 :lol: :lol:
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ColdFront77

#4 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Sep 21, 2003 4:50 pm

It probably will take that long. :lol:

Gee, from areas that don't need more rain to areas that are already getting yellow and brown grass.
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Rainband

#5 Postby Rainband » Sun Sep 21, 2003 4:55 pm

ColdFront77 wrote:It probably will take that long. :lol:

Gee, from areas that don't need more rain to areas that are already getting yellow and brown grass.
Yeah feast or famine :)
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#6 Postby wx247 » Sun Sep 21, 2003 5:53 pm

Interesting discussion indeed. I guess time will tell what happens in the "sunshine" :lol: state.
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#7 Postby Toni - 574 » Sun Sep 21, 2003 6:09 pm

We've already had our share of the rain comming in the last couple of days. Can't wait for the rest of the gulf to catch us. Already had enough rain for this season, and it looks like more may be on the way! :(
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#8 Postby BEER980 » Sun Sep 21, 2003 7:59 pm

I don't know about you Tom but I have gone 21 days without rain here at the house. So I would say not much flood chance here. Bring it on.
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#9 Postby Toni - 574 » Sun Sep 21, 2003 8:38 pm

Hey Beer, how did all of the rain we've been having the past couple of days get by you? You had to have been in a dry pocket!
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Josephine96

#10 Postby Josephine96 » Sun Sep 21, 2003 9:30 pm

LOL our 3rd system of the season... We had "pre-erika".... "Henri" and maybe now Juan...
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ColdFront77

#11 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Sep 21, 2003 11:13 pm

The west coast of Florida and the Orlando area, as well as a neighborhood in Kissimmee have been flooded for a number of days. I believe it is getting better.

980, I basically alluded to the fact that it has been pretty dry here as of late. As I said above, I believe some areas are still flooded, as the Ruskin-Tampa Bay, FL Area National Weather Service office wouldn't consider issuing Flood Watches.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Mon Sep 22, 2003 11:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#12 Postby alicia-w » Mon Sep 22, 2003 7:46 am

I heard on one of the local channels that we had more rain by the end of August than we're supposed to get all year and it doesnt show any signs of letting up soon. It rained all day yesterday, all last night and looks like it's gonna do it again today.......

Great day for cashmere....
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#13 Postby GulfBreezer » Mon Sep 22, 2003 7:57 am

We have had rain all day yesterday and today so far. As much rain as we had in June and July, I never thought I would be loving the wet stuff but I am and so is my yard!! :) There is alot of moisture coming in off the GOM today and more to come thoughout this afternoon. We will have to wait and see what happens after that! :)
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#14 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Sep 22, 2003 8:15 am

Hmmmm, both the ETA and GFS are showing a surface low developing back over the South-Central GOM as well. I can't see two lows forming in this close a proximity. We will have to wait and see.
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#15 Postby Lindaloo » Mon Sep 22, 2003 8:19 am

Same thing here Sandi. It stormed last night about 10:30. Stormed again at 5:45 a.m.
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#16 Postby Rainband » Mon Sep 22, 2003 8:32 am

Gonna be wet for some time in the GOM area. Lots of energy and a front. The front is supposed to stall over us for a couple of days. More flood watches coming :roll: Stay dry Sandi and Lindaloo :lol: :lol: or try to at least :wink:
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#17 Postby Lindaloo » Mon Sep 22, 2003 8:46 am

lol RB.. I believe the moisture is moving east, so that means you will have to break out the umbrella too. :)

I do not care about the rain as long as it clears out of here by Thursday night. Going to the racetrack in Mobile. Kerry Earnhardt, Jimmy Spencer and Michael Waltrip are supposed to be there.
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Rainband

#18 Postby Rainband » Mon Sep 22, 2003 9:05 am

Lindaloo wrote:lol RB.. I believe the moisture is moving east, so that means you will have to break out the umbrella too. :)

I do not care about the rain as long as it clears out of here by Thursday night. Going to the racetrack in Mobile. Kerry Earnhardt, Jimmy Spencer and Michael Waltrip are supposed to be there.
sounds fun get me an "auto"graph :wink:
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Josephine96

#19 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Sep 22, 2003 9:08 am

Just what we need is more rain lol.. the question is.. will "Juan" be the cause of it... Things could get interesting around here..
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Rainband

#20 Postby Rainband » Mon Sep 22, 2003 9:14 am

The NWS discussion had backed off the idea of a "low" forming..at least for now. With that said still looks like a rainy week in store :roll:
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