SIO: FANTALA - Post-Tropical

[HurricaneBill]

Tropical cyclone Fantala hits Seychelles island of Farquhar; Infrastructure damaged

[euro6208]

Damn missed this...150 knot cyclone in the SIO? Incredible...

[stormwise]

FANTALA just wont go away, is again looking quite threatening.

[Exalt]

Fantala's eye is clearing out quite well and is looking like it will make a secondary peak before its forecasted landfall in northern Madagascar. Whats scary is its persistence, the thing begins to reintensify on the most recent HWRF forecast at 126H after its landfall in Madagascar from a weak cyclone to a modest one within only a few hours. I can only imagine what possible damage this storm can bring to Eastern Africa.

[stormwise]

[cycloneye]

The ACE units that FANTALA has gotten is a record 52.7625 units and is not done yet.Is in 2nd place on all time ACE units behind Jane. (1970)

[cycloneye]

Final warning from JTWC.

TC 19S(FANTALA)

SATELLITE FIX(09UTC): 10.3°S 52.5°E
DVORAK(PGTW/):T1.0/1.5/W2.5/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS DT=0.0
FT BASED ON PT DUE TO CONSTRAINTS.
SATCON(0616UTC): 1005MB 38KT

As of 06:00 UTC Apr 24, 2016:
Location: 10.5°S 52.9°E
Maximum Winds: 35 kt(65k/h)
Gusts: 45 kt(80k/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 mb

WARNING 26/JTWC
REMARKS:
TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FANTALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 630 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED, WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE, ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING A FULLY-EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS CONSISTENT WITH RECENT SUBJECTIVE DVORAK AND AUTOMATED SATELLITE
INTENSITY CONSENSUS ESTIMATES AND WIND SPEEDS DEPICTED IN A 240619Z ASCAT PASS. TC 19S CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT PASSES, FOR A SECOND TIME, OVER A POOL OF COOL OCEAN WATER UPWELLED BY THE CYCLONE ALONG ITS PREVIOUS PATH. CONTINUED PASSAGE OVER COOL WATER AND PERSISTENT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL PREVENT TC 19S FROM REINTENSIFYING, AND DISSIPATION BELOW THE WARNING THRESHOLD INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS IMMINENT. THEREFORE, THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.