Bay of Bengal: ROANU - Post-Tropical
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Re: Bay of Bengal: ROANU - Cyclonic Storm
eastern jet flow surges likely causing explosive convective blowups.
Unfortunately catastrophic flooding will likely be biggest problem with this TS.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Unfortunately catastrophic flooding will likely be biggest problem with this TS.
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Bay of Bengal: ROANU - Cyclonic Storm
tidal surge is also going to be an issue as heights could be 5 to 8 feet.
Thinking this will have 70 mph winds at landfall
Thinking this will have 70 mph winds at landfall
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Re: Bay of Bengal: ROANU - Cyclonic Storm
double face palm for IMD
Have a look at their forecast. They have it STATIONARY for 6 hours when it is moving at close to 15 kts!
Date/time(UTC) Position
(lat. °N/ long. °E)
Maximum sustained
surface wind speed (kmph)
Category of cyclonic
Disturbance
21-05-2016/0000 20.3/88.2 80-90 gusting to 100 Cyclonic Storm
21-05-2016/0600 20.4/88.2 80-90 gusting to 100 Cyclonic Storm
21-05-2016/1200 21.0/89.6 80-90 gusting to 100 Cyclonic Storm
21-05-2016/1800 21.8/91.5 60-70 gusting to 80 Cyclonic Storm
22-05-2016/0000 22.6/93.3 50-60 gusting to 70 Deep Depression
22-05-2016/0600 23.5/95.2 25-35 gusting to 45 Well-marked low
Have a look at their forecast. They have it STATIONARY for 6 hours when it is moving at close to 15 kts!
Date/time(UTC) Position
(lat. °N/ long. °E)
Maximum sustained
surface wind speed (kmph)
Category of cyclonic
Disturbance
21-05-2016/0000 20.3/88.2 80-90 gusting to 100 Cyclonic Storm
21-05-2016/0600 20.4/88.2 80-90 gusting to 100 Cyclonic Storm
21-05-2016/1200 21.0/89.6 80-90 gusting to 100 Cyclonic Storm
21-05-2016/1800 21.8/91.5 60-70 gusting to 80 Cyclonic Storm
22-05-2016/0000 22.6/93.3 50-60 gusting to 70 Deep Depression
22-05-2016/0600 23.5/95.2 25-35 gusting to 45 Well-marked low
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Re: Bay of Bengal: ROANU - Cyclonic Storm
Upazila Parishad,Subarna Char
2016-05-21 15:20:00.000000000
DEW POINT TEMPERATURE (C) 24.1
QFE (MB) 987.0
QFF (MB) 987.9
Already reporting 987.9 @ the surface.
2016-05-21 15:20:00.000000000
DEW POINT TEMPERATURE (C) 24.1
QFE (MB) 987.0
QFF (MB) 987.9
Already reporting 987.9 @ the surface.
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Re: Bay of Bengal: ROANU - Cyclonic Storm
if that is accurate, we probably have a sub 980mb pressure. I feel better about increasing the winds in this somewhat based upon this ob
and IMD, LOOK AT THE DATA!. This is not a 992mb storm when we have obs indicating well below 990mb outside of the storm
and IMD, LOOK AT THE DATA!. This is not a 992mb storm when we have obs indicating well below 990mb outside of the storm
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Re: Bay of Bengal: ROANU - Cyclonic Storm
an eyewall is forming on Bangladesh radar. Glad this is coming onshore now and not closer to 0Z. Would have been much stronger had this waited until 0Z to strike
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Re: Bay of Bengal: ROANU - Cyclonic Storm
saw on twitter that 19 have died.
May go a lot higher as there are dams threatening to break
May go a lot higher as there are dams threatening to break
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- galaxy401
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Re: Bay of Bengal: ROANU - Cyclonic Storm
Death toll seems to be a wide range right now, from 20 deaths to as high as 90. Chances are, that is going up.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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