ATL: COLIN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tropicwatch]

So its tonight cool!

[gatorcane]

I could not resist posting the wide view of the Atlantic basin. It is remarkable to give you an idea just how large and massive this gyre is, as the deep tropical moisture is funneling all the way from the Eastern Pacific north/northeast to Colin in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico. Mother Nature's moisture pump truly in full effect, on satellite imagery.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/rb-animated.gif

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/wv-animated.gif


Also you can see clearly how the upper trough over Northern Mexico continues to retrograde southwest for the time being, which is actually helping the cyclone ventilate and is keeping the decapitating shear away from Colin for the time being.

indeed extremely impressive and with no super El Nino around any longer how different things are as far as Western Caribbean and Gulf development possibilities as we are already seeing early this hurricane season.

[bamajammer4eva]

Panhandle FL evacuation for Colin posted


https://www.facebook.com/chris.weather/ ... 6761060920

Tropical Storm Advisory
Franklin County has issued a VOLUNTARY EVACUATION NOTICE starting at 8:00am on Monday June 6, 2016 for:
· Alligator Point, Bald Point – Storm Surge of 2-4ft + High Tide of 3.1ft = Possible Storm Surge of up to 8ft.
· All Low –Lying Areas Subject to Tidal Flooding
· RV Parks – Tropical Storm Force Winds are predicted to begin at 10:00am

Franklin County Emergency Management continues at a level 3 of monitoring at this time.

Tropical Storm Colin is currently moving north at 12mpg, but a turn to the northeast is expected within the next 24 hours.
Based on track uncertainty at this time, continue to monitor local radio and NOAA for updates.
Please take precautions of securing boats, outdoor furniture, latching personal items down, etc.
With Tropical Storm Force Winds predicted to begin in Franklin County at 10:00am, please make sure you have your needed supplies and are Sheltered in Place prior to this time.

[Javlin]

Another view of the moisture and the Atlantic really looks quite wet compared to years past with SAL and all.The low in the Canada is strong!

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+24

Tropical Storm Colin is currently moving north at 12mpg, but a turn to the northeast is expected within the next 24 hours.

[thundercam96]

Next flight is tomorrow morning?

Plane departs at 3:30z.

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 73
A. 06/0530Z,1130Z
B. AFXXX 0203A CYCLONE
C. 06/0330Z
D. 25.0N 87.2W
E. 06/0500Z TO 06/1130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2330/ 1130 PM EST for departure if I am correct?

[Chris_in_Tampa]

11:30pm EDT, with the first scheduled center fix around 1:30am EDT.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutreconpod.shtml

[thundercam96]

I'm debating staying up to see what they find... considering the models are showing some intensification overnight.

[TheStormExpert]

Not used to the GFS fluctuating this much with intensity in the short-range and under 36 hours

Well it is the GFS!

[TheStormExpert]

Wouldn't be surprised to see the peak intensity bumped up to 50kts with latest trends in models and such.

[ObsessedMiami]

i was say that look all rain staying off gulf coast moving north for now nws was expacting east coast get good rain from COLIN

My understanding is that this is a 48 hour event for the peninsula. I am sure that east coast will get their rain tomorrow and tomorrow night.

[caneman]

We just got a wicked band through here, heavy rain and wind. Clearwater Beach area. Still going.

[caneman]

Power just flickered on and off.

[WPBWeather]

Power just flickered on and off.

So much for FPL storm hardening process

[caneman]

Local weather said winds were 30 mph.

[gatorcane]

That convection over the Yucatan is very impressive, cloud tops are about as high as you will see them in this part of the world. There are some dark greys within the yellows in this image which you rarely see:

[drewschmaltz]

Power just flickered on and off.

http://www.sfwmd.gov/portal/page/portal ... 28radar%29

[BobHarlem]

Power just flickered on and off.

Outage map (Tampa electric): http://www.tampaelectric.com/residentia ... outagemap/ says 4500 are out. And that's just Tampa electric, not sure of the others.

[gatorcane]

IR loop, seriously? Can somebody say "high tower alert" for that Yucatan convection?

[caneman]

Nice radar. Holy flipping cow, that's alot of rain that will train over my county. Pinellas county. The finger west of tampa bay for those that don't know the area.

[tarheelprogrammer]

Looks weird though why so? It is near the center correct?