WPAC: INVEST 94W

[mrbagyo]

94W INVEST 160619 0600 5.9N 110.5E WPAC 15 1008

FLOATER

[Extratropical94]

This area was mentioned in the JTWC summary earlier today:

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 5.5N 111E,
APPROXIMATELY 240 NM WEST OF BRUNEI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF DEEPENING CONVECTION
OBSCURING ANY LOW LEVEL FEATURES. A 190153Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE
SHOWS A WEAK CIRCULATION IMBEDDED WITHIN A TROUGH UNDERNEATH THE
AREA OF CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT DUE TO WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. DUE TO THE POOR ENVIRONMENT THE POTENTIAL FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.

[euro6208]

Is a large system that will bring heavy rains to parts of Vietnam, Cambodia, and the surrounding areas. Models don't do much with this system however.

[euro6208]

Convection building closer to center...

[euro6208]

Remains LOW

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.5N 111E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 110.6E, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
AND A 192324Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A VERY BROAD AREA
OF LOW LEVEL TURNING WITH DISORGANIZED FLARING CONVECTION. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
DUE TO MARGINAL DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
GLOBAL MODELS DO NOT SHOW SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE AS IT TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

[euro6208]

Poof...