ATL: EARL - Remnants - Discussion

[Kingarabian]

They could be pondering an upgrade. The discussion for TS Howard is still not out yet.

[cycloneye]

They could be pondering an upgrade. The discussion for TS Howard is still not out yet.

Maybe a Special Advisory.

[hurricanes1234]

They could be pondering an upgrade. The discussion for TS Howard is still not out yet.

Yes, precisely what I was thinking. It's unusual for them to come out with an advisory so close to the actual hour.

[chaser1]

What are the odds though? The plane was just miles short of making it's first pass into the system, and maintenance problems? Well, more importantly I hope there's no major problems with the plane (or crew). Curious whether they'll fly back to Biloxi or to a nearer airport (P.R. or Miami?)

[wflamholtz]

What are the odds though? The plane was just miles short of making it's first pass into the system, and maintenance problems? Well, more importantly I hope there's no major problems with the plane (or crew). Curious whether they'll fly back to Biloxi or to a nearer airport (P.R. or Miami?)

Buoy observations nearby has gone down at 21z per tropicalidbits.com

[NDG]

What are the odds though? The plane was just miles short of making it's first pass into the system, and maintenance problems? Well, more importantly I hope there's no major problems with the plane (or crew). Curious whether they'll fly back to Biloxi or to a nearer airport (P.R. or Miami?)

Buoy observations nearby has gone down at 21z per tropicalidbits.com

It sure has stopped reporting, the storm may have some weird equipment jammer lol, j/k

[Kingarabian]

The suspense...

[Hammy]

Any spin is well west of the actual convection--could the shear be increasing due to the storm-relative LLC being north of where the models had assumed it would be?

[mobilebay]

What are the odds though? The plane was just miles short of making it's first pass into the system, and maintenance problems? Well, more importantly I hope there's no major problems with the plane (or crew). Curious whether they'll fly back to Biloxi or to a nearer airport (P.R. or Miami?)

Buoy observations nearby has gone down at 21z per tropicalidbits.com

It sure has stopped reporting, the storm may have some weird equipment jammer lol, j/k

Lol. Thats funny. Sure seems like it.

[TheStormExpert]

Still no 2pmPDT advisory for Howard, could they be debating to upgrade 97L?

[mobilebay]

Still no 2pmPDT advisory for Howard, could they be debating to upgrade 97L?

Yea i noticed that. Its weird

[Kingarabian]

Howard's advisory is out now. Looks like no upgrade.

[mobilebay]

Howard's advisory is out now. Looks like no upgrade.

We should at least get a "special tropical weather outlook" one would think

[Hammy]

Howard's advisory is out now. Looks like no upgrade.

We should at least get a "special tropical weather outlook" one would think

Doubtful, as we didn't get confirmation one way or the other as to whether it's closed.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/760228695655190532

[NDG]

New microwave image shows that if it is closed it is well removed from the deep convection/MLC.

[TheStormExpert]

97L is not looking too good now.

[NDG]

97L is not looking too good now.

Low level jet is still in control of the system, its fast track is creating its own windshear.

[abajan]

Any bets on lowest pressure achieved?

985 mb

[Hammy]

97L is not looking too good now.

It likely peaked earlier and I'm still not entirely sold that it'll ever develop to start with, especially since whatever low is there is farther north (and in a higher shear environment) than the models were showing when development was indicated. And being further north, disruption from land is more likely as well.

Any bets on lowest pressure achieved?

1005 mb.