psyclone wrote:Notice on those HPC maps that the axis of heavy rain moves westward with time...very little additional rain for cedar key after day 5 but Panama city goes way up from day 5 to day 7. I've always envisioned this as a heavy rain event with TC development a secondary possibility. ..but if you look at the extent of the heavy rain potential this could be a big deal even in the absence of a designated TC...reiterating a point often made...we need not have a number or a name for a memorable and potentially destructive event.
I looked at several models this morning precipitation wise and it does appear to drift W and not much over time in the accumulation values.When I looked at the CMC(ATL) and the Euro(GOM) what event would actually move up the E coast inland through Georgia and the Carolina's seems to come from two different entities.The only agreement was something was to move NNE over time but hey that was about 190+ hours out and still fantasy at this point.I am thinking alot of rain is in store for some along the coast starting late Sunday into next week.
