ATL: HERMINE - Models

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1101 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2016 10:56 pm

Hour 72...vort north of PR
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1102 Postby Bocadude85 » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:02 pm

0Z seems south of the 18Z So far
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1103 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:05 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:0Z seems south of the 18Z So far


I don't think so...I compared images...but what's a couple miles over a few days time. :wink:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1104 Postby AtlanticWind » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:05 pm

A little faster also I think.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1105 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:06 pm

At 102, Vort definitely not as well defined as on 18z. Fiona further SW again.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1106 Postby Bocadude85 » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:08 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:At 102, Vort definitely not as well defined as on 18z. Fiona further SW again.

Yes Fiona is going to be a huge factor.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1107 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:08 pm

I think in the end 99L will consume Fiona

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1108 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:10 pm

GFS keeps moving in this direction we may have to worry more about Fiona than 99L. Maybe the UKMET is onto something...wonder twin powers unite!!!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1109 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:11 pm

Coming into line with the Euro now?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1110 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:12 pm

Anybody want to make bets Gfs drops development of 99l? Any takers?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1111 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:13 pm

If this can get going faster than modeled then Fiona may end up being part of 99L in the end and Fiona may not be as much of a factor in that case

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1112 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:14 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:Anybody want to make bets Gfs drops development of 99l? Any takers?


I'll take that bet...starting to build at hour 120 in the SE Bahamas.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1113 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:15 pm

Big ridge to the north at hour 120
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1114 Postby stormhunter7 » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:17 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:Anybody want to make bets Gfs drops development of 99l? Any takers?


I'll take that bet...starting to build at hour 120 in the SE Bahamas.



I bet 99L will take in Fiona. lol
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1115 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:17 pm

Fiona, or what's left of her, is much much further SW at 132 hours.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1116 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:18 pm

:uarrow: This is why you can't trust forecast models past a few days. :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1117 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:19 pm

TheStormExpert wrote::uarrow: This is why you can't trust forecast models past a few days. :lol:


Very true...here comes 90L screaming in from the right.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1118 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:21 pm

Hour 144, 99L looks to be absorbing Fiona's remnants. Based on the ridge there is only one way 99L should be able to go from here.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1119 Postby PTrackerLA » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:21 pm

Lol, GFS is either dropping or pushing development wayyyy back again
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1120 Postby Hammy » Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:22 pm

Seems to be trending quite similarly to the earlier Euro.
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