ATL: HERMINE - Models

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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1381 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:30 pm

It's not going to get much further north...I'm guessing landfall West Palm/Jupiter area.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1382 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:31 pm

NDG wrote:Per Euro's h50 forecast 90L has no other way but to go WNW into FL, IMO.


I'm assuming you mean 99L...Not 90L
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1383 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:31 pm

NDG wrote:Per Euro's h50 forecast 90L has no other way but to go WNW into FL, IMO.

The only way looks to be straight into Palm Beach County. :eek:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1384 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:32 pm

144 hour 500MB map. Look at ridge the north:

Image
Last edited by gatorcane on Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1385 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:32 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:Definitely starting to intensify at 132hrs...


Just saw this. 99L could really begin to intensify at this juncture if conditions at this point stay very condicive.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1386 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:32 pm

gatorcane wrote:look at ridge to the north:

Image

Perfect UL conditions I would assume.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1387 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:33 pm

gatorcane wrote:144 hour 500MB map. Look at ridge the north:

Image


Look at that football shaped ridge...Wow!!!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1388 Postby Alyono » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:33 pm

EC starts cranking at 144 hours.

Looks like the MU needs to be fixed ASAP.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1389 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:34 pm

Alyono wrote:EC starts cranking at 144 hours.

Looks like the MU needs to be fixed ASAP.

Couldn't agree more!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1390 Postby BobHarlem » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:35 pm

@ 168 Hours, landfall in S. Florida near Ft. Lauderdale.
Last edited by BobHarlem on Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1391 Postby NDG » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:36 pm

168 hrs over S FL
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1392 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:36 pm

BobHarlem wrote:@ 168 Hours, landfall in S. Florida.


What intensity? TS or minimal Hurricane??
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1393 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:36 pm

168 hour image: :eek:
Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1394 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:37 pm

12z Euro... 168 Hours... Landfall @FTL and moving WNW... Likely strong TS or Cat 1... 90L farther E compared to 00z...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1395 Postby stormlover2013 » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:38 pm

ridge still holding strong?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1396 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:38 pm

Likely minimal Cat.1 hurricane @ 168hrs. making landfall over SE FL on 12z Euro. Very Katrina looking.
:double:

Image

Image

Image
Last edited by TheStormExpert on Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:40 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1397 Postby BobHarlem » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:38 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
BobHarlem wrote:@ 168 Hours, landfall in S. Florida.


What intensity? TS or minimal Hurricane??


Strong TS or weak Hurricane, but it appears to be in a strengthening phase when it does near Ft. Lauderdale/Dania Beach.
Last edited by BobHarlem on Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1398 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:38 pm

pressure 997 at landfall for EURO.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1399 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:38 pm

Saved GIF:

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1400 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:38 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:
Alyono wrote:EC starts cranking at 144 hours.

Looks like the MU needs to be fixed ASAP.

Couldn't agree more!


I have a feeling the MU is having a hard time with the monster to its NE shearing and sucking the life out of 99L with how massive its making it in the modeling. I can see these 2 fighting for outflow channels in the future.
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