ATL: HERMINE - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
A strong tropical wave entering the Bahamas in late August. Anyone who was saying "next" last week should have known better.
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Kingarabian wrote:Remember that the Euro has been on and off too. It's only over magnified on the GFS because that model runs 4 times a day compared to 2 times a day for the Euro.
This is a valid point also...It's not exactly an apples to apples scenario we're talking about here. In other words, the GFS has more opportunities to foul up.
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Fourth Generation Florida Native
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
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TheStormExpert
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
12z Euro @ 216hrs. 
Last edited by TheStormExpert on Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Looking at high-res Weatherbell images right now, structure improves as it crosses Florida which tells me conditions could be very favorable.
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Okay, that... I wasn't expecting.
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
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Kingarabian
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stormlover2013
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
I think models are coming together with the ridge being pretty strong...now we just need a center so we can get better data..
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
well there is a little rapid intensification for you.
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If there is nothing before... then just ask
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I believe the sky is falling...
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
I know this is the thread for 99L but as a quick aside..... take a look where 90L is projected to be by the EURO at 96 hours and tell me what you'd be thinking if it just happened to be say about 5 or so degrees to the southwest at this same point and time
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Andy D
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
982mb @204 hours
Reminder, it is strictly illegal to post even snippets of images from a commercial site.
Reminder, it is strictly illegal to post even snippets of images from a commercial site.
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M a r k
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TheStormExpert
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Kingarabian wrote:Thankfully it's 216 hours out.
Unfortunately it's the Euro which once it locks in on something it's almost certain to happen. Of course it's 9 days out though and change is likely.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
969mb @ 216 hours. In the gulf, west of Tampa moving NW.
Glad this is way out there.
Glad this is way out there.
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M a r k
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BigB0882
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
My worry is that the Euro is breaking down that ridge too quickly as it tends to do that. Louisiana can't deal with this at the moment. Not that anyone else wants to.
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Kingarabian
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
tolakram wrote:969mb @ 216 hours. In the gulf, west of Tampa moving NW.
Glad this is way out there.
965 on Tropical Tidbits.
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RIP Kobe Bryant
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TheStormExpert
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
12z Euro @ 240hrs. 
Last edited by TheStormExpert on Mon Aug 22, 2016 2:00 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Kingarabian
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
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M a r k
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