ATL: HERMINE - Models

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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1741 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:19 am

SeGaBob wrote:Might be out to sea on this run...just a guess.


Not going to happen with that ridge there...unless the "magic trough" comes and opens the "trap door". :cheesy:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1742 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:19 am

Dodging a bullet?

EDIT: Nope.
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1743 Postby stormhunter7 » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:19 am

591 is all the way to northern gulf coast, this should turn west.....
Last edited by stormhunter7 on Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1744 Postby SFLcane » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:20 am

Bang lol turns westward
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1745 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:21 am

yep there it is 120 hr.. the wnw to west turn started right with the HWRF
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1746 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:21 am

Bloody hell, Erin 2 strikes back.


EDIT: it was Erin, not Andrew, lol
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:23 am, edited 1 time in total.
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ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1747 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:22 am

ridging stronger and looks like it built a little south.. could be even more of west turn on next image..

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1748 Postby LarryWx » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:24 am

This looks like it is headed up at least to C FL imo.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1749 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:24 am

:uarrow: Vorticity looks north of there @ 120hrs.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1750 Postby paintplaye » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:27 am

Large ridge once again but further north. Heading W to WSW now according to ECMWF.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1751 Postby SFLcane » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:28 am

Landfall south Florida again
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1752 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:29 am

paintplaye wrote:Large ridge once again but further north. Heading W to WSW now according to ECMWF.


Yep...going to hit around Palm Beach County.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1753 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:29 am

paintplaye wrote:Large ridge once again but further north. Heading W to WSW now according to ECMWF.



remember its farther north initially because it was stronger than the last run earlier. the synoptic setup is the same.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1754 Postby SunnyThoughts » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:29 am

Looks to be ramping up in intensity a little also.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1755 Postby centuryv58 » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:29 am

SouthFLTropics wrote:
paintplaye wrote:Large ridge once again but further north. Heading W to WSW now according to ECMWF.


Yep...going to hit around Palm Beach County.


Was just waiting up for that news, here in PBC....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1756 Postby stormhunter7 » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:30 am

Well that's a Florida landfall again on EURO. 144hrs
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1757 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:30 am

yeah I knew with that ridge in place a west motion was likely.. crazy
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1758 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:30 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
paintplaye wrote:Large ridge once again but further north. Heading W to WSW now according to ECMWF.



remember its farther north initially because it was stronger than the last run earlier. the synoptic setup is the same.


What's it look like strength wise to you Aric?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1759 Postby SFLcane » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:30 am

Ok folks with 2 runs of euro I think it's time to really pay attention now. Now sleep for me work at 6am but it's worth it. :lol:
Last edited by SFLcane on Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1760 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:31 am

Hurricane into Palm Beach County just beyond 144hrs.

Image
Last edited by TheStormExpert on Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
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