ATL: HERMINE - Models

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2041 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:22 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2042 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:23 pm

this prob ends up a bit stronger and further west...that ridge to the north is an animal. looks like 597dm ridge just north of Norfolk, VA
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stormlover2013

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2043 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:23 pm

high pressure holding steady
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2044 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:23 pm

Any chance of someone posting the map of where it comes in, Keys, Miami, FTL.
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TheStormExpert

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2045 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:23 pm

993mb into Broward/Miami-Dade counties border @ 120hrs.

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Last edited by TheStormExpert on Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2046 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:23 pm

Landfall sunday afternoon as a hurricane pressure sub 990's


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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2047 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:24 pm

12z Euro is also a bit faster compared to last night 00z. Landfall is now at 120hrs. At 00z it was near 144hrs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2048 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:24 pm

Aric what do you think about the ridge stronger?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2049 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:24 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:Landfall sunday afternoon as a hurricane pressure sub 990's


Image


On the high Resolution...would this be the equivalent of a Cat 1??
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2050 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:25 pm

986mb landfall @ 120 hrs
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2051 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:25 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:12z Euro is also a bit faster compared to last night 00z. Landfall is now at 120hrs. At 00z it was near 144hrs.

Nearly a day faster, coming in Sunday instead of Monday now.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2052 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:25 pm

Weatherbell higher rez shows 990 just off the coast.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2053 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:25 pm

EURO is gonna go nuts with this in the EGOM...I have a feeling
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2054 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:26 pm

I actually see 983.2mb while over south Florida hour 126. Definitely looks to be a cat 1.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2055 Postby Siker » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:26 pm

985mb on full res, likely Cat 1.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2056 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:26 pm

looks like it might get even farther out into the gulf this run.. not good since the environment would be much better for rapid intensification
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2057 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:27 pm

deltadog03 wrote:EURO is gonna go nuts with this in the EGOM...I have a feeling

No doubt, it'll likely exit SW Florida even stronger since all it has travel over is flat, swampy land.
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TheStormExpert

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2058 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:28 pm

One thing I must say is once the Euro locks into a solution it seems to rarely change.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2059 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:28 pm

988mb over south Florida.
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stormlover2013

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2060 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:29 pm

yeah this will have more time in the gulf, from 144 hours out
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