ATL: HERMINE - Models

[Kingarabian]

998mb on the 00z Euro @ hr 96:

[TheStormExpert]

[South Texas Storms]

Through 96 hours on the 0z Euro, it's a bit stronger and southwest of the 12z run.

[Kingarabian]

996mb on hi-res Euro.

[chaser1]

Through 96 hours on the 0z Euro, it's a bit stronger and southwest of the 12z run.

Yep, lookin' like Ft. Liquordale there

[sma10]

Thus far the Euro and HWRF align remarkably well, with the Euro just a tad faster.

[Kingarabian]

00z Euro @ hour 102 is 994mb about to make landfall.

[Kingarabian]

Moving over southern Florida @ 993mb, hour 108.

[Kingarabian]

00z Euro hr 120:

[SeGaBob]

Looks like it'll be even further west this time

[Aric Dunn]

that accelerated west very fast in that 24hrs.. geez damn near the middle of the gulf.. ..

[AutoPenalti]

That random SW jog seems a little unrealistic with an intensifying hurricane.

Actually it follows exactly what Katrina did as it was intensifying when it came ashore at the Broward/Dade line.
Katrina wasn't nearly as deep as this model projection is but it took the same SW dive as it came inland.

HWRF has landfall near Homestead.

[Kingarabian]

984m3 west of Florida.

[chaser1]

interesting; on the resolution i'm looking at the 120 hr. nearly appears as if the storm moved just south of due west across S. Fla. and into the SE Gulf as a 992mb system

[TheStormExpert]

interesting; on the resolution i'm looking at the 120 hr. nearly appears as if the storm moved just south of due west across S. Fla. and into the SE Gulf as a 992mb system

Pretty similar track to Hurricane Katrina as it crossed South Florida.

[Kingarabian]

973mb moving into the west GOM, hour 136.

[chaser1]

984m3 west of Florida.

How many hours out? Are we looking at the same maps lol?

[Kingarabian]

Euro @ 144 hours:

[South Texas Storms]

It's definitely going to be a shift west in the final landfall on this run. It's in the middle of the Gulf at 144 hours moving WNW.

[TheStormExpert]