GFS ensembles:
CMC ensembles:
ATL: HERMINE - Models
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
HWRF back to developing this. Last frame.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
GFS insists on making something of ex Fiona
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Animated 0Z Euro run
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Nederlander
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
tolakram wrote:Animated 0Z Euro run
^Rita's track^
Euro trying to make Hermine Rita's big sister...18Z GFS showed similar track, albeit with a much weaker system.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
06z... More of a spread with some models E of Florida...
06z... Intensity shoots up @108-120 hours as it nears Florida...
06z... Maybe an E swing today?
Last edited by Blown Away on Wed Aug 24, 2016 5:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Similar solution to the 0Z run, little development and then turning over Florida.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
La Breeze wrote:Blinhart wrote:PTrackerLA wrote:Woke up for the Euro to see this, good grief. Exactly what I didn't want to see but was afraid over after seeing the ensembles yesterday. Looks like a long week ahead around these parts
.
Tell me about it, and I'm suppose to have a doctor's appointment next Tuesday in New Orleans, who knows if I will be able to make that. I hate hearing Katrina, and Rita. If they start mentioning Andrew and Lilly also with those 2 we can just kiss the land south of us gone.
I'm in Kaplan and not liking this at all. Please, no!
Please Pray this stays out of the Gulf, I had 36 inches of water in my house and and about 40 in my workshop from this last unnamed storm. I'm almost through gutting the house after 4 days @ 12 hrs a day. I'm so tired and can't sleep worrying about crap. I wish it had burnt down.
Our favorite sayings these days are. I never dream it could get that high, my parents/Grandparents lived here all their lives and never got any backwater flooding. I can't stop crying. I can't believe.
6 of my 7 in laws have major water damage. I don't want no stinking storm.
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DESTRUCTION5
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
06 GFS traverses the FL Penn from Miami to Tampa but takes 48hr + to do it. Yikes. Flood much?
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Kingarabian
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
06z HWRF has 99l weak once again as it moves across the Bahamas:
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RIP Kobe Bryant
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
HWRF continues to support development.
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SouthDadeFish
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
The HWRF really blows this up in the last 24 hours of its approach to S FL. Prior to that, it shows an upper-tropospheric pattern similar to the GFS, with an upper-level low present to the NW of 99L. Once that gets out of the way, things become quite favorable.
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CYCLONE MIKE
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
See the gfs decides to once again turn 99 into the heart of that ridge. Question is how much consideration do we start giving it now considering how potentially catastrophic the euro could be? Differences are unreal. One of these two models may never be taken seriously again if they continue at such odds.
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