ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tropicwatch]

This site is also indicating a closed low.

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-77.80,21.71,3000/loc=-85.125,23.721

[slamdaddy]

just wow.

[slamdaddy]

got to look at the broad picture. don't get tunnel vision or in this case, loop vision.

[LJFire1467]

Someone said way back it will be named when the discussion page catches up to the models page, anybody think a bigger increase or upgrade at the two

[SeGaBob]

Maybe a increase in chances, but definitely no upgrade.

[bamajammer4eva]

Winds only 20 MPH so has to be 30 for upgrade to TD. They probably say its still just a wave

[SeGaBob]

Winds only 20 MPH so has to be 30 for upgrade to TD. They probably say its still just a wave

There is no threshold for TD

[stormwise]

Yeah is weakish and elongated, but of interest is the 10kt westerlies on the ascat.

[tropicwatch]

I think the circulation is becoming more prevalent. It is showing up with the AVN floater image which a lot of times it is hard to determine a circulation with it.

[AutoPenalti]

No upgrade tonight folks, low isn't closed yet.

[TimeZone]

I think the circulation is becoming more prevalent. It is showing up with the AVN floater image which a lot of times it is hard to determine a circulation with it.

Good lord what a mess.

[slamdaddy]

looks like its petering out for the night

[Hurricaneman]

The low or whatever it is is SSW of Abaco

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[Alyono]

No upgrade tonight folks, low isn't closed yet.

yeah, it is. Look at the ASCAT

[slamdaddy]

yea, pretty much...ssw or maybe sw...very lame looking at the moment....but, just wait until tomorrow....jimi Hendrix song, lol

[HurriGuy]

It has been stressed many times that this system was not going to look any better tonight.

Don't be surprised it is a "mess" at the moment. All attention will be needed when it gets pass Florida and Cuba into the Gulf

[tarheelprogrammer]

Low is closed if it stays that way up to 2 PM tomorrow it should be upgraded to at least a TD.

[slamdaddy]

guess we will wait until tomorrow...24 hours turns into 48 hours...then start over again

[psyclone]

I actually think it's looking better. land based convection is dying off as expected...but the convection near the low looks a bit more organized and there's at least some hint of curvature..

[Alyono]

the circulation is closed, but it is getting BLASTED by wicked northerly shear

Early Tuesday may be the earliestwhen this could become a TD