I think the MU is on drugs again, this isn't going to be there at hr 300 in North Carolina
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ATL: HERMINE - Models
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Hurricaneman
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
In reference to the post comparing Canadian and GFS at hour 120.
The 12z ECMWF has that same ULL feature as the CMC just southwest of Jamaica. It is not as amplified as the CMC, but it is there at that exact same time stamp. I only bring this up because the GFS never really shows the evolution of a ULL in that area.
The 12z ECMWF has that same ULL feature as the CMC just southwest of Jamaica. It is not as amplified as the CMC, but it is there at that exact same time stamp. I only bring this up because the GFS never really shows the evolution of a ULL in that area.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
If you look at 500mb vorticity on the JMA, on the very last day, it stops tracking northeast because it has missed the trough connection.
There are so many outcomes for 99L
There are so many outcomes for 99L
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stormwise
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
It stops tracking on the plot i looked @ because there was no more hours to look @.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
HWRF significantly weaker, now a 965mb cat 2 at landfall. Just north of Tampa
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bamajammer4eva
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PTrackerLA
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PTrackerLA
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deltadog03
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
EURO looks to give it a go again this run. Looks a bit stronger so far as well vs the 12z run.
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deltadog03
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Don't have the hi-res maps yet, but looks like its rapidly strengthening heading up toward Big bend area.
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PTrackerLA
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PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Looks like big bend with be the target but with the quicker movement this run probably won't get as intense.
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stormlover2013
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PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
0-192 hr loop. On hi-res makes Florida landfall around 979mb and actually looks like it restrengthens some once it hits the Atlantic and makes a quick landfall in eastern NC around 975mb.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Anybody have the high-res showing landfall intensity?
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wflamholtz
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Hammy wrote:Anybody have the high-res showing landfall intensity?
I'm not comfortable showing it, but it has a 980-978 mb low at landfall in Florida
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