ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Blinhart]

Recon supports that dry air is still a problem

What makes you say that??

[NDG]

Closed circulation, thank you very much.

193300 2330N 08154W 9768 00295 0097 +263 +243 318006 007 020 000 00
193330 2330N 08152W 9767 00296 0096 +261 +243 306007 008 020 000 03
193400 2331N 08151W 9768 00296 0098 +260 +244 296009 009 019 000 00

[SeGaBob]

Just a reminder. The pro mets that come on here are doing it because they want to, not have to. I am not a moderator, but I respect their opinion. They have the right see things different ways.

I didn't know everyone would get hung up on that... I already said I didn't mean it in that way. I respect both of their opinions.

[deltadog03]

the surface pressure field is flat. We should see a distinct minimum

Lol some of these people are super funny. Your right, it might not truly be closed yet. Either way looks like recon should "hit" the possible center

[Alyono]

there may be something afterall, but about 40 NM south of where I thought it would be

[HurriGuy]

Well there is our answer. Upgrade

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KWBC 281934
NOAA3 05EEA INVEST HDOB 15 20160828
192430 2329N 08229W 9758 00307 0100 +265 +242 353014 015 018 000 00
192500 2330N 08227W 9759 00306 0100 +264 +240 355013 015 017 000 00
192530 2330N 08225W 9763 00302 0100 +265 +244 353011 012 017 000 00
192600 2330N 08223W 9760 00303 0098 +267 +241 346012 012 017 000 00
192630 2330N 08221W 9761 00302 0098 +267 +241 350012 013 019 000 00
192700 2330N 08219W 9760 00302 0097 +267 +238 348012 013 019 000 00
192730 2330N 08217W 9762 00301 0097 +268 +234 349012 012 018 000 00
192800 2330N 08215W 9762 00301 0097 +266 +239 344010 011 017 000 00
192830 2330N 08213W 9760 00301 0096 +265 +244 340010 012 015 000 00
192900 2330N 08211W 9762 00300 0097 +265 +243 340011 011 015 002 00
192930 2330N 08209W 9762 00300 0096 +266 +240 340011 011 019 000 00
193000 2330N 08207W 9761 00299 0096 +264 +243 333011 011 022 000 00
193030 2330N 08205W 9762 00298 0096 +264 +244 334010 010 020 000 00
193100 2330N 08203W 9762 00300 0097 +262 +243 328009 009 019 000 00
193130 2330N 08201W 9769 00297 0098 +263 +242 320009 010 020 000 00
193200 2330N 08158W 9765 00297 0096 +262 +244 302009 010 020 000 00
193230 2330N 08156W 9762 00298 0095 +261 +243 306007 009 020 000 00
193300 2330N 08154W 9768 00295 0097 +263 +243 318006 007 020 000 00
193330 2330N 08152W 9767 00296 0096 +261 +243 306007 008 020 000 03
193400 2331N 08151W 9768 00296 0098 +260 +244 296009 009 019 000 00

[northjaxpro]

Closed circulation, thank you very much.

193300 2330N 08154W 9768 00295 0097 +263 +243 318006 007 020 000 00
193330 2330N 08152W 9767 00296 0096 +261 +243 306007 008 020 000 03
193400 2331N 08151W 9768 00296 0098 +260 +244 296009 009 019 000 00

Funny you just beat me to posting this. Recon has confirmed a closed circulation. We may finally get a TD designation on this system. WELL FINALLY!!

[Dean4Storms]

Looks like it is getting close but still MLC lagging a bit behind. If it can keep this convection over the center overnight....

[Blinhart]

Well there is our answer. Upgrade

The question is will they go with a TD or TS?

[NDG]

[Tireman4]

Just a reminder. The pro mets that come on here are doing it because they want to, not have to. I am not a moderator, but I respect their opinion. They have the right see things different ways.

I didn't know everyone would get hung up on that... I already said I didn't mean it in that way. I respect both of their opinions.

I was not singling anyone out. I did not mean that toward anyone in particular. Seriously. If you took it that way, I apologize.

[Steve]

Just a reminder. The pro mets that come on here are doing it because they want to, not have to. I am not a moderator, but I respect their opinion. They have the right see things different ways.

I didn't know everyone would get hung up on that... I already said I didn't mean it in that way. I respect both of their opinions.

I got it man. You were rolling your eyes at that other post not at the mets for disagreeing.

[Tireman4]

Seriously..how can they both see two different things?

The blue taggers are people too. Are they all supposed to think alike?

They're certainly allowed to think differently but with their scientific background it would seem they would be closer on the same page than worlds apart on what they're seeing.

Like the models...?

[floridasun78]

low north of Havana?

[deltadog03]

It's all good y'all no worries. It's looking like we might have something here

[TheStormExpert]

11 days later and we finally have a closed low with invest 99L, good grief!

Now the question is, is it upgradable?

[Dave C]

The visable loop seems to have the curl right on cuba coast, maybe where the mid level center is?

[psyclone]

will this meet the organizational requirements for an upgrade? I'm not confident it will but I'm not a pro.

[NDG]

low north of Havana?

A tad west of due north of Varadero.