ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Alyono]

11 days later and we finally have a closed low with invest 99L, good grief!

Now the question is, is it upgradable?

we had a closed low last night

[NDG]

The visable loop seems to have the curl right on cuba coast, maybe where the mid level center is?

Yes, that's where the MLC is.

[Aric Dunn]

not at all surprised from recon.. center pass shortly.

[floridasun78]

sunny here no rain Miami so look all rain stay by cuba and keys their few storm broward not like their forecast we see flood

[Frank P]

Things are coming together quite nicely given the shear. TD at 5 if recon can find sufficient evidence( which is more than 75% likely) if not then by 11pm though they rarely upgrade at 11. its nice to be able to watch it unfold on radar though.

I think no later than 12 hours to be classified, maybe as early as 5 as you say... watching the radar and rapid scan almost as good as recon, but not quite!

Alright you guys... wanna make this fun lol? My $50.00 to your $25.00 contribution each to S2K bet! I say "no T.D. Classification" by 11:30pm tonight

Well well well, me thinks someone needs to donate 50 bucks to Storm2K... hahaha

[TheStormExpert]

11 days later and we finally have a closed low with invest 99L, good grief!

Now the question is, is it upgradable?

we had a closed low last night

Recon just found a closed low.

[Portastorm]

Let's focus MORE on the actual disturbance 99L and less on what the "blue tag" who agrees with your viewpoint is writing.

As tireman said, the pro meteorologists here are here on their own volition. Meteorologists do not always agree. This isn't news nor is it a reason to call anyone's credentials into question.

Now back to our regular programming ...

[chaser1]

I think no later than 12 hours to be classified, maybe as early as 5 as you say... watching the radar and rapid scan almost as good as recon, but not quite!

Alright you guys... wanna make this fun lol? My $50.00 to your $25.00 contribution each to S2K bet! I say "no T.D. Classification" by 11:30pm tonight

Well well well, me thinks someone needs to donate 50 bucks to Storm2K... hahaha

LOL! I'm not conceding defeat! It's no more/less closed than it was 24 hours ago That said, and in the spirit of a fun bet AND small contribution to Storm2K for the time and expense of maintaining their server and have the open forum for this kind of bantor..... $50.00 donated (confirm: 6P331677N3706514E)

[NDG]

Looking at the radar loop the MLC is already been displaced further south by the northerly shear, but not as strong as last night.

[floridasun78]

ull north of pr look better and 99l

[TropicalSailor]

Could someone link live visible IR please?

[Frank P]

Alright you guys... wanna make this fun lol? My $50.00 to your $25.00 contribution each to S2K bet! I say "no T.D. Classification" by 11:30pm tonight

Well well well, me thinks someone needs to donate 50 bucks to Storm2K... hahaha

LOL! I'm not condeding defeat! It's no more/less closed than it was 24 hours ago That said, and in the spirit of a fun bet AND small contribution to Storm2K for the time and expense of maintaining their server and have the open forum for this kind of bantor..... $50.00 donated (confirm: 6P331677N3706514E)

Hey you're a great sport... here is my confirmation number as well ... 3372-6267-9414-1503 Now maybe is a good time for others who use this board to perhaps make a donation as well... it looks like things are going to be real busy in the next month or so... pretty easy to donate to.. I just used my credit card or you can do paypal as well... Just do it...

[Nimbus]

Will the convection persist?

[NDG]

Could someone link live visible IR please?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif

[chaser1]

Let's focus MORE on the actual disturbance 99L and less on what the "blue tag" who agrees with your viewpoint is writing.

As tireman said, the pro meteorologists here are here on their own volition. Meteorologists do not always agree. This isn't news nor is it a reason to call anyone's credentials into question.

Now back to our regular programming ...

Could'nt agree more. Besides more important than the credentials themselves or how they were obtained, is the level of respect each one have for another person's opinion; regardless of title or years of hugging Greenland troughs

[sponger]

I would think an upgrade at 5. Too much at stake now. Game on. Reminds me of Andrew and Katrina, the little fighter that held on for a better day. Where this gets to from here is anyone's guess, but the stakes just went up, significantly.

[NDG]

Will the convection persist?

I'm sure is going to start dying out pretty soon as is during this time of the day, then start r-firing back up tonight and or tomorrow morning.

[Aric Dunn]

and there we have it.. closed and farther south within the convection. that is rebuilding again.

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KWBC 281944
NOAA3 05EEA INVEST HDOB 16 20160828
193430 2333N 08149W 9769 00294 0096 +260 +244 303008 009 019 000 00
193500 2334N 08148W 9769 00291 0094 +260 +244 293007 009 018 000 00
193530 2336N 08147W 9765 00291 0090 +263 +239 292004 004 020 000 00
193600 2338N 08146W 9762 00291 0090 +261 +242 287005 005 020 000 00
193630 2339N 08145W 9767 00289 0090 +261 +245 282006 006 020 000 00
193700 2341N 08144W 9765 00289 0089 +262 +241 279006 007 019 000 00
193730 2342N 08142W 9769 00286 0089 +264 +233 268006 006 019 000 00
193800 2344N 08141W 9768 00287 0087 +259 +245 259005 006 020 000 00
193830 2345N 08140W 9769 00285 0088 +260 +243 248006 006 020 000 00
193900 2347N 08139W 9768 00287 0089 +258 +241 206004 004 021 000 00
193930 2348N 08137W 9769 00287 0089 +255 +241 196004 005 021 000 00
194000 2350N 08136W 9770 00286 0090 +255 +240 168003 004 021 000 00
194030 2351N 08135W 9770 00285 0090 +256 +238 169005 006 021 000 00
194100 2353N 08134W 9689 00360 0091 +251 +235 134004 005 019 000 00
194130 2354N 08132W 9552 00486 0091 +240 +226 117007 008 019 000 00
194200 2355N 08131W 9426 00606 0092 +233 +221 121008 009 019 000 00
194230 2357N 08130W 9404 00619 0091 +232 +217 123009 010 020 000 03
194300 2359N 08131W 9403 00622 0089 +233 +216 116012 013 015 000 00
194330 2400N 08132W 9407 00619 0091 +235 +214 104015 016 017 000 03
194400 2401N 08134W 9461 00572 0094 +234 +217 100015 016 022 000 00

LLC found at 23.8N 81.7W.

[stormhunter7]

looks like lowest pressure miss piggy found just north of cuba was 1009mb. The center or what could be a center may be closer to coast, but we probably don't have permission to be that close to their air space? OR we didn't ask to enter Cuban airspace?