ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[AutoPenalti]

Once TD9 crosses over into the N Atlantic it may find better conditions...

We said that about the Bahamas, the Gulf, and now the N Atlantic... at this point it might find better conditions in the Arctic Circle.

[StormHunter72]

Reminding me of Gordon in 2000

[Dave C]

Center is moving out from underneath on the northern side of convection.... or at least an eddy.

[tarheelprogrammer]

Once TD9 crosses over into the N Atlantic it may find better conditions...

lol I see what you did there....

[ConvergenceZone]

In spite of the bad conditions and current presentation, I still think it will make it to tropical storm status before it hits Florida

[Evil Jeremy]

000
URNT15 KWBC 291942
NOAA3 0709A CYCLONE HDOB 17 20160829
193230 2437N 08356W 9232 00786 0094 +219 +211 119026 026 027 000 00
193300 2436N 08357W 9244 00773 0092 +218 //// 120027 029 027 000 01
193330 2434N 08359W 9260 00757 0092 +219 +214 122028 028 024 000 00
193400 2433N 08400W 9256 00760 0090 +220 +207 124029 029 025 000 00
193430 2432N 08402W 9249 00764 0089 +219 +211 121030 031 025 000 00
193500 2430N 08403W 9252 00761 0088 +224 +205 121030 030 027 000 00
193530 2429N 08405W 9251 00758 0086 +222 +205 122030 031 026 000 00
193600 2428N 08406W 9250 00759 0083 +223 +209 121032 033 026 000 00
193630 2426N 08408W 9249 00765 0089 +225 +199 124033 034 026 000 00
193700 2425N 08410W 9244 00768 0087 +224 +207 122032 033 027 000 00
193730 2424N 08411W 9245 00764 0084 +223 +213 120033 034 027 000 00
193800 2422N 08413W 9242 00768 0081 +222 +215 118033 033 029 000 00
193830 2421N 08414W 9264 00741 0078 +227 +219 115034 035 029 000 00
193900 2420N 08416W 9271 00735 0078 +228 +221 119032 033 029 000 00
193930 2419N 08417W 9271 00734 0075 +228 //// 115034 036 030 000 01
194000 2417N 08419W 9275 00724 0069 +229 //// 115036 037 029 000 05
194030 2416N 08420W 9272 00727 0066 +230 //// 117031 033 031 000 01
194100 2414N 08421W 9265 00731 0063 +232 //// 107025 030 030 000 01
194130 2412N 08422W 9261 00734 0063 +238 +219 116013 014 023 000 00
194200 2411N 08423W 9271 00727 0065 +234 +217 118015 016 021 000 00

[Extratropical94]

193830 2421N 08414W 9264 00741 0078 +227 +219 115034 035 029 000 00

First unflagged flight level TS force winds.

[benh316]

I am at the point where I believe nothing will form in the western Atlantic that has not already formed strongly in the east/central Atlantic prior.

[TropicalSailor]

35+ Winds Found

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/re ... YCLONE.png

[JaxGator]

Though it has somewhat "waned", there is still heavy convection near the center (or where it might be).

[tropicwatch]

If it moves under that anti-cyclone, it will remind me of Charlie which had an extreme anti-cyclone above it.

[Evil Jeremy]

"RIP TD9" - Storm2k posters. At least that's how it seems (this hour). Personally, I think it looks fine for a TD. I have seen worse looking Tropical Storms as well. There's 2-3 days for TD9 to organize and strengthen.... so lets be patient.

[Alyono]

May be more like Gabrielle in that it could be intensifying rapidly at landfall, instead of falling apart

[JaxGator]

If it moves under that anti-cyclone, it will remind me of Charley which had an extreme anti-cyclone above it.

It looks more powerful than the one it had when it passed through the East Caribbean.

[johngaltfla]

If it moves under that anti-cyclone, it will remind me of Charley which had an extreme anti-cyclone above it.

Let's not.

I still hate that storm. Talk about scaring the carp out of me.

Right now 5-8"+ of rain is bad enough so we do not need an intensifying storm at landfall. The worst case scenario for those of us near the coast is a slow moving intensifying storm dropping even more rain than initial forecasts given thus far. Fast moving and weakening would be best.

[HurriGuy]

found 35 knots

[tropicwatch]

If it moves under that anti-cyclone, it will remind me of Charley which had an extreme anti-cyclone above it.

Let's not.

I still hate that storm. Talk about scaring the carp out of me.

Right now 5-8"+ of rain is bad enough so we do not need an intensifying storm at landfall. The worst case scenario for those of us near the coast is a slow moving intensifying storm dropping even more rain than initial forecasts given thus far. Fast moving and weakening would be best.

Not trying to scare just making an observation.

[Ntxw]

RGB loop. Center or eddy is partially exposed it seems

[TimeZone]

This thing has traveled across the entire Atlantic in late August, and has now made it's way into the GOM and look at it. It's still an absolute mess. The Atlantic sure has changed a lot the last few years.

[chris_fit]

Lower pressure on this pass (1006.3) and not at center yet - weird