ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Steve]

Does anyone know if there are mountains along the coast over western Cuba there?

http://www.mappery.com/map-of/Cuba-Topography-Map

[Dean4Storms]

Never mind I googled it.

Yes there is a mountain range right along the north coast there with peaks to 1500ft.

I wonder if this is causing an eddy to form close to the coast and it is disrupting the wind flow around the more northern center.

[whatacane]

So I'm watching recon on Google earth and even with all the wind barbs and data, I'm not sure what's going on. Untrained eye.
I did see the strongest winds were NE of the ?center, at 33 knots.

you have the link?

[Extratropical94]

[Recurve]

Does anyone know if there are mountains along the coast over western Cuba there?

I believe not so much. Looks flat in GE, and mountain ranges are far east.

[Aric Dunn]

I think the overlay might be a little off.. but there is something there..
http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon ... OAA-3-.kmz

[tropicwatch]

I can not spot a center on the last visible frames but I believe it is under heavy convection now.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=24&lon=-85&type=Animation&info=vis&zoom=1&numframes=15

[HurriGuy]

As frustrated as we are, imagine what the hurricane hunters are thinking

[Extratropical94]

URNT15 KWBC 292342
NOAA3 0709A CYCLONE HDOB 41 20160829
233230 2314N 08508W 6958 03192 0053 +113 +067 292007 008 010 000 00
233300 2316N 08507W 6958 03191 0048 +114 +085 295009 010 014 001 00
233330 2318N 08507W 6959 03187 0050 +112 +079 297007 009 018 002 00
233400 2320N 08507W 6958 03186 0046 +111 +105 307005 007 011 000 00
233430 2323N 08508W 6958 03187 0042 +116 +091 287005 006 008 000 00
233500 2325N 08508W 6958 03186 0038 +121 +072 289006 006 008 001 00
233530 2327N 08508W 6958 03187 0040 +119 +077 299006 007 010 001 00
233600 2329N 08508W 6959 03185 0036 +122 +074 300006 006 010 001 00
233630 2331N 08508W 6958 03186 0033 +123 +077 339004 005 007 001 00
233700 2333N 08508W 6958 03186 0035 +122 +076 039006 006 005 000 00
233730 2335N 08508W 6959 03185 0035 +124 +060 048006 007 006 000 00
233800 2337N 08508W 6958 03187 0037 +122 +061 037008 009 007 000 00
233830 2339N 08508W 6959 03185 0039 +121 +064 036008 009 010 001 00
233900 2341N 08508W 6959 03186 0040 +120 +065 035007 007 008 000 00
233930 2343N 08508W 6959 03185 0042 +118 +070 038007 008 005 000 00
234000 2345N 08508W 6958 03187 0042 +118 +073 031007 008 006 000 00
234030 2348N 08508W 6958 03188 0040 +120 +071 042010 010 006 000 00
234100 2350N 08508W 6959 03187 0039 +120 +078 059009 010 009 000 00
234130 2352N 08508W 6960 03185 0030 +128 +076 079009 010 010 000 00
234200 2354N 08508W 6959 03187 0026 +132 +070 071013 016 009 000 00

[gatorcane]

Hot tower alert looking at that loo
p above?

[johngaltfla]

Does anyone know if there are mountains along the coast over western Cuba there?

Flat as Florida.

[johngaltfla]

Here's the Cancun radar via Accuweather. I'm not liking this at all.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/mx/cancun ... ite/235049

[Aric Dunn]

recon flew through another vort to the SW of the previous pass with no VDM. they are rotating around each other. maybe this deep convection will help solidify something.

[Frank P]

I can not spot a center on the last visible frames but I believe it is under heavy convection now.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=24&lon=-85&type=Animation&info=vis&zoom=1&numframes=15

And I would think it would have to be if it is going to survive and continue to develop... sure looks that way to me.. if this comes to fruition, being more SW I would think it would definitely have an effect on future forecasts, perhaps more towards the western FL Panhandle... premature speculation only on my part however... gotta get more recon...

[Frank P]

As frustrated as we are, imagine what the hurricane hunters are thinking

Yeah but they got a hellva better view than we do... front row seats... HH are the best!

[Nimbus]

Just at sunset it looked like the naked vort took a jog west, like maybe it was getting caught up in the wider circulation as a future eddy.

[Extratropical94]

URNT15 KWBC 292352
NOAA3 0709A CYCLONE HDOB 42 20160829
234230 2356N 08508W 6958 03188 0024 +135 +065 072018 018 007 001 00
234300 2358N 08508W 6960 03187 0023 +137 +051 072021 022 017 003 00
234330 2400N 08508W 6957 03189 0021 +139 +045 067022 023 012 001 00
234400 2402N 08508W 6958 03189 0023 +137 +048 068022 022 010 000 00
234430 2404N 08508W 6958 03188 0021 +137 +056 066021 021 017 000 00
234500 2406N 08508W 6959 03188 0024 +135 +060 064020 021 015 000 00
234530 2408N 08507W 6959 03187 0026 +133 +065 065021 021 009 000 00
234600 2410N 08507W 6959 03188 0025 +134 +065 068020 021 012 001 00
234630 2412N 08508W 6959 03188 0027 +132 +076 069021 022 013 000 00
234700 2414N 08508W 6959 03188 0023 +136 +069 068022 022 015 000 00
234730 2416N 08508W 6959 03188 0029 +130 +077 067022 023 016 000 00
234800 2418N 08508W 6958 03191 0029 +132 +070 063022 023 014 000 00
234830 2420N 08508W 6958 03192 0031 +132 +068 065022 022 014 000 00
234900 2422N 08508W 6960 03192 0033 +132 +064 066021 021 016 000 00
234930 2424N 08508W 6959 03192 0034 +132 +058 070021 022 017 004 00
235000 2426N 08508W 6959 03194 0040 +127 +060 071021 022 024 001 00
235030 2428N 08508W 6958 03195 0043 +126 +059 078022 023 020 001 00
235100 2430N 08508W 6958 03197 0045 +125 +061 080023 023 021 000 00
235130 2433N 08508W 6957 03198 0048 +123 +065 077022 022 026 000 00
235200 2435N 08508W 6958 03198 0050 +122 +066 080021 022 024 001 00

[gatorcane]

Looking better and less sheared, perhaps an anticyclone is building over top:

[Jag95]

Just took a look at the loops for the first time today and it still looks the same to me. Displaced mid level circulation with the low level circulation a little to the north and west. But, still looks like it's on the predicted track imo.

[SEASON_CANCELED]

Looks stationary imo