ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[psyclone]

Forbes on TWC was pretty bullish on TOR potential over portions of central and northern florida...something else to keep in mind.

[jlauderdal]

Forbes on TWC was pretty bullish on TOR potential over portions of central and northern florida...something else to keep in mind.

did he issue a TorCon number?

[Stormnut]

Can anyone link the steering maps?

[Extratropical94]

Someone else feel free to take over, I'm done for today.

URNT15 KWBC 300002
NOAA3 0709A CYCLONE HDOB 43 20160829
235230 2437N 08508W 6959 03198 0053 +120 +070 083022 023 024 000 00
235300 2439N 08508W 6959 03197 0053 +119 +074 084021 022 024 000 00
235330 2441N 08508W 6958 03198 0053 +118 +076 080018 019 025 000 00
235400 2443N 08507W 6959 03197 0054 +118 +077 078017 017 023 000 00
235430 2445N 08507W 6959 03198 0056 +117 +078 079016 017 023 000 00
235500 2447N 08507W 6959 03198 0060 +115 +077 082017 017 022 000 00
235530 2450N 08507W 6958 03200 0064 +113 +071 082018 018 023 000 00
235600 2452N 08507W 6959 03200 0064 +114 +067 081018 018 023 000 00
235630 2454N 08507W 6959 03200 0063 +115 +069 078017 017 023 000 00
235700 2456N 08507W 6958 03202 0061 +118 +049 077016 016 022 000 00
235730 2458N 08507W 6960 03200 0062 +119 +038 080017 018 023 000 00
235800 2500N 08508W 6959 03201 0061 +120 +036 084018 018 022 000 00
235830 2502N 08508W 6959 03201 0062 +119 +042 086018 019 021 000 00
235900 2504N 08508W 6959 03201 0062 +117 +050 084019 019 023 000 00
235930 2506N 08508W 6959 03202 0062 +119 +045 084019 019 023 000 00
000000 2508N 08508W 6959 03202 0061 +121 +037 081020 020 022 000 00
000030 2511N 08508W 6959 03203 0059 +123 +037 082020 021 024 000 00
000100 2513N 08508W 6959 03203 0058 +124 +038 083021 021 023 000 00
000130 2515N 08508W 6958 03206 0062 +122 +040 080021 021 023 000 00
000200 2517N 08508W 6958 03205 0063 +122 +039 083021 021 022 000 00

[poof121]

Can anyone link the steering maps?

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/dlmmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=dlm1&zoom=&time

[Kazmit]

It seems to be moving WSW... strange. I don't see a hint of a recurve right now.

[johngaltfla]

Forbes on TWC was pretty bullish on TOR potential over portions of central and northern florida...something else to keep in mind.

did he issue a TorCon number?

Yup.

5, the highest.

[psyclone]

Forbes on TWC was pretty bullish on TOR potential over portions of central and northern florida...something else to keep in mind.

did he issue a TorCon number?

5. I think highly of Forbes. He said it's his highest number since late June. He, along with everyone else missed the TOR outbreak last week in IN/OH

[drewschmaltz]

To me it looks like the MLC is getting pulled a little north and the llc is moving a little south. I've watched too many loops today to be taken seriously, but that's what I see.

[HurricaneBelle]

It seems to be moving WSW... strange. I don't see a hint of a recurve right now.

Recurve isn't supposed to happen for another 36 hours.

[Hammy]

Is this weakening? The winds look very light on the last pass to the southeast.

[Nimbus]

It seems to be moving WSW... strange. I don't see a hint of a recurve right now.

If that is the primary center, we haven't had a vortex message in three hours so that naked vort may just be weakening and getting pulled back in.

[jlauderdal]

Forbes on TWC was pretty bullish on TOR potential over portions of central and northern florida...something else to keep in mind.

did he issue a TorCon number?

Yup.

5, the highest.

good catch

forbes is good...5 means business and not surprising for anyone on the right side of a land falling trop system

[tropicwatch]

Looking better and less sheared, perhaps an anticyclone is building over top:

Looks like mlc is over western Cuba.

[psyclone]

5 is not the highest torcon. it's a 1-10 scale

[JaxGator]

Looking better and less sheared, perhaps an anticyclone is building over top:

The outflow to the north looks good (plus impressive hot tower blow up) and yes, I think this is it here. Got better defined today and pretty much more or less over the system.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... wg8shr.GIF

[Blinhart]

It seems to be moving WSW... strange. I don't see a hint of a recurve right now.

Recurve isn't supposed to happen for another 36 hours.

It is suppose to be moving WNW already and it is moving more WSW

[johngaltfla]

5 is not the highest torcon. it's a 1-10 scale

My bad, he said the highest, but another poster caught the rest where he said "the highest issued since June".

I did not get to hear the entire section of that due to a phone call coming in.

[Frank P]

I'm thinking perhaps the center is trying to relocate around 23 deg N. 84. 5 deg W, but only speculation on my part.. which if so, would behoove the overall development process...

[tropicwatch]

I think todays movement was a drift westward with relocation after relocation and maybe consolidation this evening. Just my opinion