tigerz3030 wrote:Good morning NorthJax, I will help monitor St Augustine and WGV area where I live. I have made the decision to get supplies today just in case like flashlights and batteries for sure. Looks pretty good now that the cone is set with minor wobbles. Intensity is one thing no one is sure of but I'm thinking cat 1 or very close at landfall.
Everyone be safe the next 48-60 hours!
Smart reasoning. I think definitely we will have scattered power outages across the region Tigerz3030. I am on the north side of Jax area, and my primary concern, as with any landfalling tropical cyclone and its dynamics is severe weather and the tornado threat. I really have to worry abouti flying debris, especially tree limbs etc. in my neighborhood near Blount Island. Also, with this area being in that right front quadrant, unfortunately the slight north shift on the track really entrenches NE Florida in the worst side of the storm. Therefore the threat for small mesoscale tornadoes will really be a concern as well.
So, if this system intensifies to close to or attains Cat 1 status, likely we would see tropical storm winds inland up to 50 mph or possibly higher in gusts as the cyclone moves through the region Thursday-late Friday timeframe.