2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

[TheStormExpert]

18z GFS is back with the Cape Verde hurricane recurving it out in the Central Atlantic.

[gatorcane]

Surprised nobody noticed the GFS is much more bullish and is closer to the ECMWF for the wave to roll off Africa in 5 days. I expect NHC to mention this wave in one of their outlooks in the next day or two.

[MetroMike]

Surprised nobody noticed the GFS is much more bullish and is closer to the ECMWF for the wave to roll off Africa in 5 days. I expect NHC to mention this wave in one of their outlooks in the next day or two.

Yes I noticed that, but it looks like a recurve on that run. But we all know that can change. There is still hope that this season is not closed.

[Brent]

[terrapintransit]

What the hell is THAT??

[LarryWx]

Not to be completely forgotten just yet, is that the "never say die" remnnants of Fiona that the 0Z Fri Crazy Uncle (CMC) has moving west to just SE of NC at hour 72 followed by a hit on NC the next day?? Someone tell me I'm not going crazy lol.

[stormwise]

That looks like the EW progged EC has coming of Africa @120hrs.

https://i.imgsafe.org/fd74f98524.png @120hrs


https://i.imgsafe.org/fd817b9c54.png @180hrs


https://i.imgsafe.org/fd84a955ba.png @240hrs

[AutoPenalti]

Nothing to worry about because magic trough is back.

[stormwise]

Nothing to worry about because magic trough is back.

Maybe a little early to claim nothing to worry about,P24L solution may not even come off but it is the EC.

[SoupBone]

Is this guy anti hurricane? lol. He always tweets negative stuff

If the information that he is tweeting is accurate, meaning it's based on what models are showing. how can he be anti-hurricane? I don't follow.

[LoveWeather12]

Is there anything in the future we need to watch? What are the steering patten going to be like. I live in FL so I'm wondering if they'll be another storm threat

[ftolmsteen]

What the hell is THAT??

That hurricane is definitely not playing by the rules. Test it for juicing.

[AJC3]

Just a quick reminder that there is now a separate thread for any posts pertaining to pouch 25L (over west central Africa) at...

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=118204

Model output is welcome there.

[cycloneye]

Very long range so take it as entertainment. 06Z GFS has a development in SW Caribbean.This part of the basin normally is favored to have developments after the peak of the season passes in late September,October and November.Let's see if is a phanthom or not.

[HurricaneFan]

There looks to be a Tropical Wave on the 12Z GFS affecting the Lesser Antilles starting on the 11th of September.
Is it the Wave that is behind ex-92L now?

[Gustywind]

There looks to be a Tropical Wave on the 12Z GFS affecting the Lesser Antilles starting on the 11th of September.
Is it the Wave that is behind ex-92L now?

I Wonder that too, i asked it in another topic related to EX92L.

[PTrackerLA]

Well the models suddenly seem to indicate Hermine will be the only show in town for at least the first week in September. Quite a change from just a few days ago.

[Gustywind]

Well the models suddenly seem to indicate Hermine will be the only show in town for at least the first week in September. Quite a change from just a few days ago.

Be welcomed on the deep tropics Mother Nature has always surprises in store . Anyway , you should not let your guard down!

[gatorcane]

The 12Z ECMWF, UKMET, and CMC models are developing a wave that rolls off Africa around Labor Day

UKMET day 7:


ECMWF day 7:


CMC day 7:

[wxmann_91]

^ Not gonna get fooled by that again, lol.