T.D. #16 GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED

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tropicsPR
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T.D. #16 GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED

#1 Postby tropicsPR » Thu Sep 25, 2003 6:14 pm

I just saw the latest Infrared Image of T.D#16 at the Naval Research Laboratory Web site and the depression is looking more and more like the next tropical storm. Also, I noticed a more westward movement. Any comments or opinions?
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jfaul
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#2 Postby jfaul » Thu Sep 25, 2003 6:19 pm

Its a fish...might be nice to look at in a few days but Carribean is much more interesting as the question is will it develop or not.
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#3 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 25, 2003 6:30 pm

I agree with jfaul.
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 25, 2003 6:30 pm

My opinion is if it stays at a low latitud it might not be a fish after all but it all depends on if it begins to climb in latitud soon.
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#5 Postby AussieMark » Thu Sep 25, 2003 6:37 pm

Wasn't Isabel supposed to be a fish in its early stages.
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Derek Ortt

#6 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Sep 25, 2003 6:37 pm

Have you seen the monster ridge GFS and CMC is building. Yes, it is a surface ridge, though it may serve to prevent an out to sea movement.

Also, GFS's recurvature is complete dung, IMO. Systems this low moving to the west usually do not radically recurve. I do not see a big trough dropping down to do the trick this time
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#7 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Sep 25, 2003 6:49 pm

Agreed. I refuse to believe TD16 will recurve as radically as forecast.
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#8 Postby Aquawind » Thu Sep 25, 2003 6:53 pm

tropicalweatherwatcher wrote:Wasn't Isabel supposed to be a fish in its early stages.


Yes, plenty of Crow munching for the fish forecasters. NHC did a awesome job.
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ColdFront77

#9 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Sep 25, 2003 8:14 pm

tropicalweatherwatcher wrote:Wasn't Isabel supposed to be a fish in its early stages.

Isabel wasn't really expected to be move out to see in its early stages. The forecast track at that point showed a curve, not necessarily a recurving system.
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